Suzhou Dongwu vs Qingdao Red Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou).

Jia League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.35
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
72% (197/274)	74% (227/305)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	0.52
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
19	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
10	20
Passes
72% (197/274)	74% (227/305)
Long passes
42% (27/64)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
53% (55/103)	47% (37/78)
Crosses
35% (8/23)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.23
Throw-ins
24	18
Fouls
20	10
Tackles
78% (7/9)	92% (12/13)
Duels won
32	53
Clearances
14	25
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.52	1.25
Goals prevented
0.52	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Bao Shimeng ⚽,
32', Bao Shimeng 🟨,
33', Nobrega J. 🟨,
33', Chen Hao-Wei 🟨,
42', Zhang Lingfeng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wu Junhao ↓, Shi Zhe ↑,
46', Zhao Chengle ↓, Lu K. ↑,
46', Zhang Lingfeng ↓, Chen Ao ↑,
55', Gao D. 🟨,
65', Bao Shimeng ↓, Wen Da ↑,
66', Liu Yue ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
74', Zhang Liang ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
74', Yao Xuchen ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
77', Zhou Dadi ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
81', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Fortes C. ↑,
90+7', Fan Xulin 🟨,

Chances of winning

Suzhou Dongwu
67.9%

Draw
20.8%

Qingdao Red Lions
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

20.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

15.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suzhou Dongwu's performance.

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Red Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Suzhou Dongwu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Red Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	4.7 ↑ (4.45)	8.62 ↑ (5)	2.4% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
Suzhou Dongwu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Qingdao Red Lions's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Suzhou Dongwu is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Suzhou Dongwu won against Qingdao Red Lions?

Suzhou Dongwu has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Suzhou Dongwu?

Qingdao Red Lions has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions were as follows:

11.05.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu 0:1

05.10.2024 Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions 2:1

26.05.2024 Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu 3:3

31.05.2023 Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu 1:2

Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu

14.09.2025 Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Shanghai Jiading Huilong - Suzhou Dongwu 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Kun City 0:4 ✺

27.07.2025 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Suzhou Dongwu 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions

14.09.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Shanghai Jiading Huilong 1:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Dingnan United 0:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Dalian Kun City - Qingdao Red Lions 2:1 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	27	18	7	2	57:26	31	61
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	27	17	4	6	50:32	18	55
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	16	5	6	46:30	16	53
4	Yanbian Longding	27	13	7	7	34:24	10	46
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	27	12	8	7	37:29	8	44
6	Nantong Zhiyun	27	12	7	8	43:26	17	43
7	Dingnan Ganlian	27	10	10	7	37:32	5	40
8	Dalian K'un City	27	10	8	9	36:34	2	38
9	Shaanxi Union	27	9	8	10	41:41	0	35
10	Nanjing City	27	8	8	11	35:39	-4	32
11	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	10	10	22:28	-6	31
12	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	27	8	6	13	24:38	-14	30
13	Foshan Nanshi	27	6	7	14	25:43	-18	25
14	Shenzhen Juniors	27	7	3	17	35:56	-21	24
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	27	5	7	15	21:39	-18	22
16	Qingdao Red Lions	27	2	7	18	15:41	-26	13

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League