Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
68% (173/256) | 78% (356/455) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.80 | 2.03 |
Total shots |
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13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 21 |
Passes |
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68% (173/256) | 78% (356/455) |
Long passes |
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48% (37/77) | 30% (20/66) |
Passes in final third |
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55% (44/80) | 67% (90/135) |
Crosses |
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25% (6/24) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 0.33 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.03 | 0.80 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, Davidson ⚽, Yakubu A. (A),
- 23', Matheus Indio 🟨,
- 45+4', Yang A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Zhang Wei ↓, Wang Qiao ↑,
- 56', Chen Po-Liang ↓, Xu Bin ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Yakubu A. (Pen),
- 71', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Li Ning ↑,
- 71', Abduweli Behram ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
- 71', Garcia E. ↓, Orr M. ↑,
- 82', He Longhai ↓, Zhao Honglue ↑,
- 82', Zhang Chengdong ↓, Sun Jie ↑,
- 90+1', Kartsev E. ↓, Zhang Yudong ↑,
- 90+2', Yakubu A. ↓, Gao Di ↑,
- 90+2', Da Luz N. ↓, Iminqari M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shenzhen Peng City 44.1% | Draw 28.9% | Qingdao West Coast 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.Qingdao West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao West Coast might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao West Coast could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.5) |
3.44 ↓ (3.49) |
3.74 ↑ (2.68) |
1.3% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 1 - 50%). Qingdao West Coast (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Qingdao West Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Qingdao West Coast?
Shenzhen Peng City has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao West Coast won against Shenzhen Peng City?
Qingdao West Coast has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast were as follows:
06.05.2025
Qingdao West Coast
-
Shenzhen Peng City
0:0
22.09.2024
Qingdao West Coast
-
Shenzhen Peng City
3:2
12.05.2024
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Qingdao West Coast
1:2
02.09.2023
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Qingdao West Coast
2:3
21.05.2023
Qingdao West Coast
-
Shenzhen Peng City
1:0
Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City
Latest results of Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 63:38 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 53:22 | 31 | 55 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 59:31 | 28 | 54 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 57:39 | 18 | 51 |
5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 43 |
6 | Shandong Taishan | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 56:40 | 16 | 42 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Qingdao West Coast | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
9 | Dalian Yingbo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 38:49 | -11 | 31 |
11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 45:44 | 1 | 29 |
12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 24 |
13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 30:55 | -25 | 20 |
14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 18 |
15 | Changchun Yatai | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24:43 | -19 | 18 |
16 | Meizhou Hakka | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 30:57 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League