Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/03/2026 at 16:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
4	8
Double Faults
1	5
1st serve percentage
69%	39%
1st serve points won
75% (27/36)	83% (15/18)
2nd serve points won
50% (8/16)	36% (10/28)
Break Points Saved
4/5	2/5
1st return points won
17% (3/18)	25% (9/36)
2nd return points won
75% (21/28)	63% (10/16)
Break Points Converted
3/5	1/5
Service Points Won
68% (45/66)	57% (33/58)
Return Points Won
43% (25/58)	32% (21/66)
Total Points Won
56% (70/124)	44% (54/124)
Last 10 balls
6	4
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
90% (9/10)	67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)	10% (1/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)	37% (7/19)

Chances of winning

Aryna Sabalenka
83.3%

Qinwen Zheng
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Qinwen Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.13)		5.69 ↓ (5.92)	4.4% (5.4%)

What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Zheng will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -5.5 Games - Zheng (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 50%). Zheng (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Zheng is ranked WTA: 26.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.
Sabalenka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Zheng's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Zheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sabalenka is the obvious favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.8:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Qinwen Zheng?

Aryna Sabalenka has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Qinwen Zheng won against Aryna Sabalenka?

Qinwen Zheng has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng were as follows:

03.06.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng 2:0

14.05.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng 0:2

25.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng 2:0

02.11.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng 2:0

13.10.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng 2:1

Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka

22.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Caty McNally 2:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Ann Li 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina 2:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Linda Noskova 2:0 ✺

12.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Qinwen Zheng

22.03.2026 Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Qinwen Zheng - Sloane Stephens 2:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Antonia Ruzic - Qinwen Zheng 2:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Peyton Stearns - Qinwen Zheng Canceled ✺

11.02.2026 Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Li A.	Birrell K. (Q)	2 : 1
3	McNally C.	Masarova R. (Q)	2 : 0
4	Bye	Wang Xin. (29)
5	Zheng Q. (23)	Bye
6	Brady J. (WC)	Stephens S. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Ruse G.	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Keys M. (15)
9	Svitolina E. (9)	Bye
10	Jones E. (WC)	Fruhvirtova L. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Baptiste H.	Maria T.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Samsonova L. (19)
13	Ostapenko J. (25)	Bye
14	Yastremska D.	Krueger A. (WC)	2 : 1
15	Sun L. (Q)	Townsend T. (WC)	0 : 2
16	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
17	Rybakina E. (3)	Bye
18	Tjen J.	Putintseva Y.	1 : 2
19	Sierra S.	Rakhimova K. (LL)	0 : 2
20	Bye	Kostyuk M. (27)
21	Jovic I. (18)	Bye
22	Badosa P.	Sasnovich A. (Q)	2 : 0
23	Bejlek S.	Gibson T. (Q)	0 : 2
24	Bye	Osaka N. (16)
25	Alexandrova E. (11)	Bye
26	Tagger L. (WC)	Seidel E. (LL)	2 : 1
27	Golubic V. (Q)	Stearns P.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Cristian J. (34)
29	Fernandez L. (26)	Bye
30	Arango E.	Selekhmeteva O.	1 : 2
31	Jones F.	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Pegula J. (5)
33	Anisimova A. (6)	Bye
34	Waltert S.	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
35	Lys E.	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	0 : 2
36	Bye	Bucsa C. (30)
37	Shnaider D. (20)	Bye
38	Valentova T.	Volynets K. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Sonmez Z.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Bencic B. (12)
41	Noskova L. (14)	Bye
42	Zhang S.	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
43	Galfi D. (Alt)	Kalieva E. (Q)	1 : 2
44	Bye	Mertens E. (21)
45	Sakkari M. (33)	Bye
46	Parks A.	Kraus S. (Q)	2 : 0
47	Semenistaja D. (LL)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
49	Andreeva M. (8)	Bye
50	Kessler M.	Frech M.	2 : 1
51	Vidmanova D. (WC)	Jacquemot E.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Bouzkova M. (32)
53	Kalinskaya A. (22)	Bye
54	Zakharova A. (Q)	Bondar A.	2 : 1
55	Kenin S.	Blinkova A.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mboko V. (10)
57	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
58	Siniakova K.	Osorio C.	0 : 2
59	Boulter K.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Tauson C. (17)
61	Eala A. (31)	Bye
62	Siegemund L.	Marcinko P.	2 : 0
63	Linette M.	Gracheva V.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Li A.	2 : 0
2	McNally C.	Wang Xin. (29)	2 : 1
3	Zheng Q. (23)	Stephens S.	2 : 0
4	Ruse G.	Keys M. (15)	0 : 2
5	Svitolina E. (9)	Jones E.	2 : 0
6	Baptiste H.	Samsonova L. (19)	2 : 0
7	Ostapenko J. (25)	Yastremska D.	2 : 0
8	Townsend T.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
9	Rybakina E. (3)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
10	Rakhimova K.	Kostyuk M. (27)	0 : 2
11	Jovic I. (18)	Badosa P.	2 : 0
12	Gibson T.	Osaka N. (16)	2 : 0
13	Alexandrova E. (11)	Tagger L.	2 : 0
14	Stearns P.	Cristian J. (34)	0 : 2
15	Fernandez L. (26)	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 1
16	Jones F. (RET.)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 1
17	Anisimova A. (6)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 1
18	Starodubtseva Y.	Bucsa C. (RET.) (30)	1 : 0
19	Shnaider D. (20)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
20	Sonmez Z.	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
21	Noskova L. (14)	Cirstea S.	1 : 2
22	Kalieva E.	Mertens E. (21)	0 : 2
23	Sakkari M. (33)	Parks A.	0 : 2
24	Cocciaretto E.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
25	Andreeva M. (8)	Kessler M.	2 : 1
26	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M. (32)	0 : 2
27	Kalinskaya A. (22)	Zakharova A.	1 : 2
28	Blinkova A.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
29	Muchova K. (13)	Osorio C.	2 : 1
30	Boulter K.	Tauson C. (RET.) (17)	1 : 1
31	Eala A. (31)	Siegemund L.	2 : 1
32	Linette M.	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	McNally C.	2 : 0
2	Zheng Q. (23)	Keys M. (15)	2 : 1
3	Svitolina E. (9)	Baptiste H.	0 : 2
4	Ostapenko J. (25)	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
5	Rybakina E. (3)	Kostyuk M. (27)	2 : 0
6	Jovic I. (18)	Gibson T.	0 : 2
7	Alexandrova E. (11)	Cristian J. (34)	1 : 2
8	Fernandez L. (26)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
9	Anisimova A. (6)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
10	Shnaider D. (20)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
11	Cirstea S.	Mertens E. (21)	2 : 0
12	Parks A.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (8)	Bouzkova M. (32)	2 : 0
14	Zakharova A.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (13)	Boulter K.	2 : 0
16	Eala A. (31)	Linette M.	2 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (23)	2 : 0
2	Baptiste H.	Ostapenko J. (25)	2 : 0
3	Rybakina E. (3)	Gibson T.	2 : 0
4	Cristian J. (34)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
5	Anisimova A. (6)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
6	Cirstea S.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (8)	Mboko V. (10)	1 : 2
8	Muchova K. (13)	Eala A. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (3)	Pegula J. (5)	2 : 1
3	Bencic B. (12)	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
4	Mboko V. (10)	Muchova K. (13)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rybakina E. (3)	2 : 0
2	Gauff C. (4)	Muchova K. (13)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (4)

2 : 1