Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup
Football English League Cup Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers
Result
3:2
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
5.471.20
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
306
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
152
Passes
88% (512/585)69% (190/274)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
5.471.20
xG on target (xGOT)
4.961.76
Total shots
306
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
131
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
244
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
152
Touches in opposition box
437
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
178
Passes
88% (512/585)69% (190/274)
Long passes
55% (28/51)31% (15/49)
Passes in final third
81% (177/218)43% (23/53)
Crosses
33% (12/36)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.531.03
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
817
Tackles
72% (13/18)52% (12/23)
Duels won
6347
Clearances
1045
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.764.96
Goals prevented
-0.241.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Bennie D. ⚽,
  • 26', Paterson J. (Pen),
  • 38', Sutton E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Kolli R. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Burrell R. ↓, Dillon C. ↑,
  • 46', Sutton E. ↓, Talla L. ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 2, Wiredu B. ⚽, Palsson V. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 2, Oseni O. ⚽, Benarous A. (A),
  • 57', Ibrahim B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
  • 57', Hatch J. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
  • 65', Finn T. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
  • 65', Szucs K. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Oseni O. ⚽, Watts C. (A),
  • 80', Oseni O. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
  • 86', Pearman J. ↓, Trujillo A. ↑,
  • 86', Putman J. ↓, Brunson K. ↑,
  • 90', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Tarbotton T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
45%		Draw
29.5%		Queens Park Rangers
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 27.6% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 27.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
  • Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queens Park Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.3 ↓
    (2.82)    		 3.38
    (3.38)    		 4 ↑
    (2.37)    		 -1.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). QPR will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, QPR has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers 0:1
    24.08.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    09.04.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers 1:1
    13.12.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle 0:0
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    09.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺
    02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3 ✺
    26.07.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City 0:2
    23.07.2025 Torquay United - Plymouth Argyle 0:6
    16.07.2025 Truro City - Plymouth Argyle 2:3
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    09.08.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Preston North End 1:1 ✺
    02.08.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Brentford 0:1
    26.07.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Heerenveen 2:2
    23.07.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺
    18.07.2025 Toulouse - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    3AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    4MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    5TranmereBurton1 : 2
    6HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    7SunderlandBye
    8HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    9BarrowPreston0 : 1
    10WrexhamHull4 : 3
    11WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    12Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    13StokeWalsall1 : 0
    14BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    15BurnleyBye
    16West BromDerby1 : 2
    17EvertonBye
    18ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    19BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    20ByeLeeds
    21GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    22ByeManchester Utd
    23FulhamBye
    24Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    25WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    26NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    27Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    28ByeBrighton
    29PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    30GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    31CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    32CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    33NewportMillwall0 : 1
    34CoventryLuton1 : 0
    35WolvesBye
    36ByeWest Ham
    37BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    38SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    39SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    40PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    41BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    42Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    43Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    44CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale
    2AccringtonDoncaster
    3BurtonLincoln
    4SunderlandHuddersfield
    5PrestonWrexham
    6WiganStockport County
    7StokeBradford City
    8BurnleyDerby
    9EvertonMansfield
    10Sheffield WedLeeds
    11GrimsbyManchester Utd
    12FulhamBristol City
    13NorwichSouthampton
    14Oxford UtdBrighton
    15ReadingAFC Wimbledon
    16CardiffCheltenham
    17MillwallCoventry
    18WolvesWest Ham
    19BarnsleyRotherham
    20SwanseaPlymouth
    21BromleyWycombe
    22Cambridge UtdCharlton
    23BournemouthBrentford
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