Result
3:2
22/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/321) | 86% (456/528) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/321) | 86% (456/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 67% (89/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Rodrigo Dourado (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Avila A. ⚽,
- 31', Avila A. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
- 45', Barrera P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 1, Robles J. ⚽, Armenta E. (A),
- 58', Suarez J. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 58', Klimowicz M. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 58', Garcia M. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
- 67', Perlaza J. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
- 67', Armenta E. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 68', Barrera P. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro Galvao (Pen),
- 73', Mendoza Martin O. I. 🟨,
- 84', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 84', Yan Phillipe ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 84', Reyes D. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 86', Robles J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Torres R. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 2, Homenchenko S. (Pen),
- 90+9', Homenchenko S. 🟨,
- 90+10', Aguila E. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Querétaro
29.3% | Draw
27.9% | Atlético San Luis
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Querétaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Querétaro - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.74) |
3.35 ↓
(3.65) |
2.21 ↓
(2.35) |
6.5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Querétaro - Atlético San Luis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético San Luis will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2.
- Querétaro is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético San Luis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Hernandez J.
(Injury)
Lertora F.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Atlético San Luis?
Querétaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Querétaro?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
07.02.2025
Querétaro
-
Atlético San Luis
1:0
18.08.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Querétaro
4:0
27.02.2024
Querétaro
-
Atlético San Luis
4:1
15.07.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Querétaro
4:1
10.03.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Querétaro
2:0
Latest results of Querétaro
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
