Result
3:2
22/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.77 | 2.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
80% (256/321) | 86% (456/528) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.77 | 2.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.61 | 1.40 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
80% (256/321) | 86% (456/528) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (26/61) | 51% (27/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (33/56) | 67% (89/132) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (2/12) | 38% (8/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.32 | 0.94 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 36% (5/14) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.40 | 2.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.60 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Rodrigo Dourado (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Avila A. ⚽,
- 31', Avila A. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
- 45', Barrera P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 1, Robles J. ⚽, Armenta E. (A),
- 58', Suarez J. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 58', Klimowicz M. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 58', Garcia M. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
- 67', Perlaza J. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
- 67', Armenta E. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 68', Barrera P. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro Galvao (Pen),
- 73', Mendoza Martin O. I. 🟨,
- 84', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 84', Yan Phillipe ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 84', Reyes D. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 86', Robles J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Torres R. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 2, Homenchenko S. (Pen),
- 90+9', Homenchenko S. 🟨,
- 90+10', Aguila E. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Querétaro 29.3% | Draw 27.9% | Atlético San Luis 42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Querétaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Querétaro - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.18 ↑ (2.74) |
3.35 ↓ (3.65) |
2.21 ↓ (2.35) |
6.5% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Querétaro - Atlético San Luis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético San Luis will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2.
- Querétaro is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético San Luis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Hernandez J.
(Injury)
Lertora F.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Atlético San Luis?
Querétaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Querétaro?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
07.02.2025
Querétaro
-
Atlético San Luis
1:0
18.08.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Querétaro
4:0
27.02.2024
Querétaro
-
Atlético San Luis
4:1
15.07.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Querétaro
4:1
10.03.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Querétaro
2:0
Latest results of Querétaro
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
4 | Tigres UANL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
6 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
8 | Juarez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Club Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
10 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
13 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
14 | Atlas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 5 |
15 | Necaxa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
18 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )