Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
28
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Vera U. , Vallejos M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Lavezzi A. , Batista A. (A),
  • 62', Mansilla G. , Viguet M. ,
  • 63', Cabrera L. 🟨,
  • 71', Montero F. , Giacone J. ,
  • 74', Batista A. , Luna R. ,
  • 74', Dominguez A. , Barreto J. ,
  • 76', Gobetto J. 🟨,
  • 81', Lavezzi A. , Postigo J. ,
  • 81', Arnijas L. , Bonfigli M. ,
  • 81', Cabrera L. , Silva T. ,
  • 81', Martinez R. , Rasso I. ,
  • 85', Aguero Gimenez A. R. 🟨,
  • 88', Vera U. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Faggioli L. , Eggel M. (A),
  • 90+3', Vallejos M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
49.7%
Draw
30.9%
Deportivo Maipú
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 32.9% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 32.6% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.06)
    2.97
    (2.84)
    4.81
    (4.28)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Deportivo Maipú (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Quilmes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    16.02.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 2:0
    13.10.2024 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 3:0
    26.05.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:1
    27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    29.03.2026 San Telmo - Quilmes 0:3
    21.03.2026 Club Almagro - Quilmes 1:0
    14.03.2026 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 3:0
    01.03.2026 Gimnasia Jujuy - Quilmes 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    3San Martin T835010:5514
    4Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    5Temperley83417:5213
    6Midland73316:3312
    7Quilmes832311:7411
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    11Almagro82244:6-28
    12Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    13Agropecuario82246:9-38
    14Patronato82244:9-58
    15San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    16Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
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          Relegation