Justin Boulais vs Quinn Vandecasteele – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
63%60%
1st serve points won
63% (24/38)74% (28/38)
2nd serve points won
41% (9/22)60% (15/25)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)100% (1/1)
1st return points won
26% (10/38)37% (14/38)
2nd return points won
40% (10/25)59% (13/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)30% (3/10)
Winners
1321
Unforced errors
3529
Net points won
64% (7/11)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
55% (33/60)68% (43/63)
Return Points Won
32% (20/63)45% (27/60)
Total Points Won
43% (53/123)57% (70/123)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
50
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Justin Boulais
36.4%
Quinn Vandecasteele
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Justin Boulais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justin Boulais's form might have worsened.
  • Quinn Vandecasteele has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quinn Vandecasteele's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Boulais than the current prediction. (+23.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Justin Boulais, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (-23.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quinn Vandecasteele, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Justin Boulais - Quinn Vandecasteele Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (1.84)

    1.48
    (1.84)
    6.3%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Justin Boulais - Quinn Vandecasteele?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Boulais will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vandecasteele will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Boulais (votes: 2 - 50%). Vandecasteele (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games - Vandecasteele (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Boulais (votes: 2 - 40%). Vandecasteele (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boulais is ranked ATP: 560. Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 581.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Boulais may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Vandecasteele will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boulais won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Justin Boulais - Quinn Vandecasteele were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Quinn Vandecasteele - Justin Boulais 0:2
    11.08.2025 Quinn Vandecasteele - Justin Boulais 2:0
    09.03.2025 Quinn Vandecasteele - Justin Boulais 1:2
    Latest results of Justin Boulais
    Latest results of Quinn Vandecasteele
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Martin D.0 : 2
    2Milavsky D.Bigun K. (WC)2 : 0
    3Sheehy J. (Q)Poling K. (WC)2 : 0
    4Ilagan A.Martin A. (6)1 : 2
    5Boyer T. (3)Johns G.2 : 0
    6Kennedy J. (JR)Gojo B.0 : 2
    7Battle L. (WC)Boulais J. (Q)0 : 2
    8Vandecasteele Q. (Q)Cassone M. (5)2 : 0
    9Kozlov S. (7)Stebe C.2 : 1
    10Perot R.Hara Friend J. D. (Alt)2 : 1
    11Zink T.Smith K.1 : 2
    12Ghibaudo A.Tomic B. (4)2 : 0
    13Rybakov A. (8)Langmo C.0 : 2
    14Kuhar M. (Q)Dostanic S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Shah A.Jones B. (Q)1 : 2
    16Kingsley C.Smith C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Milavsky D.0 : 2
    2Sheehy J.Martin A. (6)2 : 0
    3Boyer T. (3)Gojo B.0 : 2
    4Boulais J.Vandecasteele Q.0 : 2
    5Kozlov S. (7)Perot R.2 : 1
    6Smith K.Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    7Langmo C.Dostanic S.1 : 2
    8Jones B.Smith C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Milavsky D.Sheehy J.1 : 2
    2Gojo B.Vandecasteele Q.2 : 0
    3Kozlov S. (7)Smith K.0 : 2
    4Dostanic S.Smith C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sheehy J.Gojo B.0 : 2
    2Smith K.Smith C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Gojo B.Smith C. (2)0 : 2