Result
1:2
16/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 49% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 63% (24/38) | 68% (30/44) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 60% (18/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/11 | 4/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (15/44) | 37% (14/38) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 50% (20/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/7 | 4/11 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 33 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 100% (6/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (43/76) | 65% (48/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (26/74) | 43% (33/76) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (69/150) | 54% (81/150) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 33% (4/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 56% (14/25) |
Chances of winning
Quinn Vandecasteele
59.3% | Miguel Tobon
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quinn Vandecasteele's form might have worsened.Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Quinn Vandecasteele - Miguel Tobon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.39) |
|
2.29 ↓
(2.79) |
7.5%
(7.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 509. Tobon is ranked ATP: 607.
- Vandecasteele is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tobon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vandecasteele might have a minor edge in this game.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Quinn Vandecasteele won against Miguel Tobon?
Quinn Vandecasteele has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miguel Tobon won against Quinn Vandecasteele?
Miguel Tobon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quinn Vandecasteele - Miguel Tobon were as follows:
Latest results of Quinn Vandecasteele
Latest results of Miguel Tobon
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gomez F. A. (1) | Martin D. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhukayev B. | Mena F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Delaney Ja. (Q) | Daniel T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mayo A. (PR) | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Crawford O. (3) | Wiskandt M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ayeni A. (Alt) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Catry R. (Q) | Hayen A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ursu V. | Martin A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kozlov S. (7) | Magadan A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Mmoh M. | Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shah A. | Alujas R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Galarneau A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Huesler M. (5) | Yuzuki T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Hernandez A. | Colson T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Zink T. | Polmans M. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Tobon M. (Q) | Ficovich J. P. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Martin D. | Mena F. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Daniel T. | Andrade A. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crawford O. (3) | Ayeni A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Hayen A. | Martin A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kozlov S. (7) | Mmoh M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Shah A. (RET.) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Huesler M. (5) | Hernandez A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Zink T. | Tobon M. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mena F. | Daniel T. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Ayeni A. | Martin A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mmoh M. | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Huesler M. (5) | Zink T. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Daniel T. | Martin A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mmoh M. | Zink T. | 2 : 1 |
Final
