Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 24
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (340/427) | 66% (168/256) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (340/427) | 66% (168/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (104/162) | 48% (47/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Afriyie J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Schoofs R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lamego D. ↓, Faye W. ↑,
- 54', Patris L. 🟨,
- 60', Zeneli B. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
- 60', Florucz R. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
- 63', Lutonda T. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 70', Afriyie J. 🟨,
- 77', Afriyie J. ↓, Makate Bokoya C. ↑,
- 77', Maes O. ↓, Ashimeru M. ↑,
- 80', Schoofs R. ↓, Zorgane A. ↑,
- 80', David P. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
- 82', Fall P. M. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Guilherme Smith ⚽, Biondic M. (A),
- 83', Guilherme Smith 🟨,
- 88', Gillot N. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
- 90', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Liongola J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ashimeru M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Gilloise
66% | Draw
21.4% | RAAL La Louvière
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+2.7%)The ML Model estimate for RAAL La Louvière aligns with the current prediction.
Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.43) |
4.47 ↓
(4.51) |
7.55 ↑
(7.21) |
6%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- La Louvière may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Union SG: Burgess C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
Rodriguez K.
(Back Injury)
Scherpen K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in La Louvière: Ito J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against RAAL La Louvière?
Saint-Gilloise has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Saint-Gilloise?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
24.08.2025
RAAL La Louvière
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:0
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
