Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 19
- Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (443/535) | 78% (266/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (443/535) | 78% (266/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (86/123) | 63% (74/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Maisonneuve M. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lutonda T. ↓, Gillot N. ↑,
- 46', Maes O. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 67', Afriyie J. ↓, Guindo M. ↑,
- 69', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
- 77', Sakamoto I. 🟨,
- 78', Gueulette S. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 78', Benavides D. ↓, Pau M. ↑,
- 81', Nacho ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽, Gillot N. (A),
- 90', 2 - 1, Mebude A. ⚽, Haspolat D. (A),
- 90+2', Sakamoto I. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
55.7% | Draw
25.1% | RAAL La Louvière
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Westerlo's performance.RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RAAL La Louvière might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Westerlo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RAAL La Louvière could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Westerlo - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(2.02) |
3.77 ↑
(3.5) |
4.95 ↑
(3.5) |
5.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Westerlo - RAAL La Louvière?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 14 - 70%). La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 49.9% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Westerlo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Bayram E.
(Red Card)
Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in La Louvière: Bretelle L.
(Inactive)
Faye W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Westerlo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against RAAL La Louvière?
Westerlo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Westerlo?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
18.10.2025
RAAL La Louvière
-
Westerlo
0:0
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
