Racing Louisville vs Portland Thorns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
kenyaKenyaGotv
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaNSWL+, NWSL+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.83
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2515
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
73% (218/300)81% (294/364)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.883.88
Total shots
2515
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
1712
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
73% (218/300)81% (294/364)
Long passes
41% (17/41)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
60% (74/123)68% (61/90)
Crosses
14% (4/29)69% (9/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.82
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
1712
Tackles
65% (11/17)65% (11/17)
Duels won
3850
Clearances
835
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
3.881.88
Goals prevented
2.880.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, O'Kane K. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Dufour J. ,
  • 36', Dufour J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Coffey S. (Pen),
  • 64', Dufour J. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 64', Torpey K. , Mckenzie M. ,
  • 70', O'Kane K. , DiGrande M. ,
  • 75', Perry J. 🟨,
  • 78', Hase E. , Morris M. ,
  • 87', Dufour J. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 89', Alidou d'Anjou M. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Jean E. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', Weber S. , Balcer B. ,
  • 90+3', Turner R. , Sugita H. ,
  • 90+4', Demelo S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Racing Louisville
32.6%
Draw
25.9%
Portland Thorns
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 28.7% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 27.8% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Louisville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (3.03)
    3.59
    (3.17)
    2.23
    (2.21)
    7.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2.
    • Recent performances by Racing Louisville have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland Thorns has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing Louisville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Portland Thorns - Racing Louisville 3:3
    19.10.2024 Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns 1:0
    30.03.2024 Portland Thorns - Racing Louisville 2:2
    02.09.2023 Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns 2:1
    22.04.2023 Portland Thorns - Racing Louisville 2:0
    Latest results of Racing Louisville
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    NWSL Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Angel City W22007:166
    2Houston Dash W22004:046
    3Portland Thorns W22003:036
    4North Carolina Courage W21102:114
    5Gotham W21101:014
    6Kansas City Current W21013:303
    7San Diego Wave W21012:203
    8Bay FC W21013:4-13
    9Seattle Reign W21012:3-13
    10Chicago W21012:5-33
    11Racing Louisville W20113:4-11
    12Washington Spirit W20112:3-11
    13Denver Summit W20112:3-11
    14Orlando Pride W20112:3-11
    15Utah Royals W20022:4-20
    16Boston Legacy W20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)