Result
3:2
06/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Monroy A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Usa | NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.90 | 1.08 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
70% (191/272) | 79% (272/345) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.90 | 1.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.84 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
70% (191/272) | 79% (272/345) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (14/33) | 31% (15/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (80/123) | 64% (47/73) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (12/24) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.63 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
31 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 73% (16/22) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.24 | 2.84 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.76 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Mozingo B. ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, Sears E. ⚽, O'Kane K. (A),
- 26', 2 - 1, Jean E. ⚽, Beckie (A),
- 32', 2 - 2, St.Georges B. ⚽, Del Fava K. (A),
- 45+2', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', St.Georges B. 🟨,
- 65', Beckie ↓, Hase E. ↑,
- 65', St.Georges B. ↓, Solorzano A. ↑,
- 65', Thomsen J. ↓, Monaghan P. ↑,
- 68', Sears E. 🟨,
- 72', Rabano N. 🟨,
- 74', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 76', Rabano N. ↓, Pogarch M. ↑,
- 76', Tanaka M. ↓, Foederer D. ↑,
- 82', O'Kane K. ↓, DiGrande M. ↑,
- 85', Sentnor A. ↓, Cluff M. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Weber S. ⚽, Petersen C. (A),
- 87', Sears E. ↓, Kanu U. ↑,
- 87', Weber S. ↓, Ary Borges ↑,
- 90+1', Demelo S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Racing Louisville 42.2% | Draw 27.7% | Utah Royals 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Louisville's form might have worsened.Utah Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utah Royals's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Louisville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utah Royals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Racing Louisville - Utah Royals Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (1.9) |
3.29 ↓ (3.37) |
3.02 ↓ (3.67) |
9.8% (9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Racing Louisville - Utah Royals?
Users Predictions:
Racing Louisville will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing Louisville will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Racing Louisville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Utah has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Racing Louisville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Louisville won against Utah Royals?
Racing Louisville has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utah Royals won against Racing Louisville?
Utah Royals has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Louisville - Utah Royals were as follows:
28.09.2024
Utah Royals
-
Racing Louisville
1:0
20.04.2024
Racing Louisville
-
Utah Royals
5:1
Latest results of Racing Louisville
Latest results of Utah Royals
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kansas City Current W | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | 21 | 36 |
2 | Orlando Pride W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Washington Spirit W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
4 | San Diego Wave W | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Seattle Reign W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
6 | Portland Thorns W | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 20 |
8 | Gotham W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
9 | North Carolina Courage W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
10 | Bay FC W | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Angel City W | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
12 | Houston Dash W | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
13 | Chicago W | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:28 | -17 | 7 |
14 | Utah Royals W | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12:30 | -18 | 6 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)