Result
3:2
06/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Monroy A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (191/272) | 79% (272/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (191/272) | 79% (272/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (14/33) | 31% (15/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (80/123) | 64% (47/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Mozingo B. ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, Sears E. ⚽, O'Kane K. (A),
- 26', 2 - 1, Jean E. ⚽, Beckie (A),
- 32', 2 - 2, St.Georges B. ⚽, Del Fava K. (A),
- 45+2', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', St.Georges B. 🟨,
- 65', Beckie ↓, Hase E. ↑,
- 65', St.Georges B. ↓, Solorzano A. ↑,
- 65', Thomsen J. ↓, Monaghan P. ↑,
- 68', Sears E. 🟨,
- 72', Rabano N. 🟨,
- 74', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 76', Rabano N. ↓, Pogarch M. ↑,
- 76', Tanaka M. ↓, Foederer D. ↑,
- 82', O'Kane K. ↓, DiGrande M. ↑,
- 85', Sentnor A. ↓, Cluff M. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Weber S. ⚽, Petersen C. (A),
- 87', Sears E. ↓, Kanu U. ↑,
- 87', Weber S. ↓, Ary Borges ↑,
- 90+1', Demelo S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Racing Louisville
42.2% | Draw
27.7% | Utah Royals
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Louisville's form might have worsened.Utah Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utah Royals's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Louisville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utah Royals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Racing Louisville - Utah Royals Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.9) |
3.29 ↓
(3.37) |
3.02 ↓
(3.67) |
9.8%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Racing Louisville - Utah Royals?
Users Predictions:
Racing Louisville will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing Louisville will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Racing Louisville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Utah has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Racing Louisville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Louisville won against Utah Royals?
Racing Louisville has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utah Royals won against Racing Louisville?
Utah Royals has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Louisville - Utah Royals were as follows:
28.09.2024
Utah Royals
-
Racing Louisville
1:0
20.04.2024
Racing Louisville
-
Utah Royals
5:1
Latest results of Racing Louisville
Latest results of Utah Royals
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 34:10 | 24 | 43 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 31 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | Gotham W | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 21 |
| 10 | Angel City W | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Houston Dash W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Bay FC W | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 18:35 | -17 | 10 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12:31 | -19 | 8 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
