Trival Valderas vs Racing Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
29/03/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Pascual D. ,
  • 24', 2 - 1, Peredo S. ,
  • 38', 2 - 2, ,
  • 45+3', 3 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 85', 4 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Trival Valderas
46.6%
Draw
29.2%
Racing Madrid
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24.7% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 22.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trival Valderas's form might have worsened.
  • Racing Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trival Valderas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Trival Valderas - Racing Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.56)
    3.36
    (3.67)
    4.06
    (5.19)
    1.8%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Trival Valderas has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Racing Madrid's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Trival Valderas is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Trival Valderas will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trival Valderas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trival Valderas - Racing Madrid were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Racing Madrid - Trival Valderas 0:3
    Latest results of Trival Valderas
    Latest results of Racing Madrid
    22.03.2026 Racing Madrid - Torrejón 1:2
    15.03.2026 Parla - Racing Madrid 0:2
    28.02.2026 México - Racing Madrid 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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