Racing Madrid vs Unión Adarve – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
11/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 61', 1 - 0, ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+12', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Racing Madrid
22.3%
Draw
28.1%
Unión Adarve
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 27.5% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 27.6% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Adarve's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Adarve, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Racing Madrid - Unión Adarve Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (3.25)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    1.85
    (2.04)
    8.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Unión Adarve will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Racing Madrid
    Latest results of Unión Adarve
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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