Result
20:20
20/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ Sport |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 8)
- 7', Hughes N. (Try),
- 7', Pesenti B. 🟨,
- 10', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 23', Seunes U. (Drop Goal),
- 26', Escobar D. 🟨,
- 27', (Penalty Try),
- 2nd Half (10 - 12)
- 44', Briatte R. 🟨,
- 44', Hill J. 🟨,
- 58', Fickou G. (Try),
- 58', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 69', Hulleu W. (Try),
- 78', Manu J. 🟨,
- 80+5', Melikidze G. (Try),
- 80+6', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Stade Français
75.8% | Draw
3.4% | Racing Métro
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Français's performance.Racing Métro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Métro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Français that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Métro than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Métro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stade Français - Racing Métro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.55) |
27.36 ↑
(18.48) |
4.44 ↑
(2.75) |
8.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.
- Recent performances by Stade Français have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Racing Métro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Racing Métro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Stade Français is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 462:528. (average 23.1:26.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 216:254. (average 19.6:23.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Français won against Racing Métro?
Stade Français has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Métro won against Stade Français?
Racing Métro has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Français - Racing Métro were as follows:
27.04.2025
Racing Métro
-
Stade Français
49:24
24.11.2024
Stade Français
-
Racing Métro
40:24
24.02.2024
Racing Métro
-
Stade Français
11:27
18.11.2023
Stade Français
-
Racing Métro
9:13
03.06.2023
Stade Français
-
Racing Métro
20:33
Latest results of Stade Français
Latest results of Racing Métro
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
