Racing Rioja vs Varea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Racing Rioja - Varea
Result
0:4
03/03/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Racing Rioja
21.8%
Draw
25.8%
Varea
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 28.6% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 27.9% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Rioja's form might have worsened.
  • Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varea's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Rioja than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Rioja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Racing Rioja - Varea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (2.88)
    3.51
    (3.15)
    1.73
    (2.25)
    10.5%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • Racing Rioja is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Varea is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Varea will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Racing Rioja won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Racing Rioja won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    Latest results of Racing Rioja
    18.02.2024 Racing Rioja - Alfaro 1:3
    11.02.2024 Anguiano - Racing Rioja 1:0
    04.02.2024 Racing Rioja - Arnedo 2:4
    28.01.2024 Alberite - Racing Rioja 2:3
    Latest results of Varea
    25.02.2024 Varea - La Calzada 1:0
    18.02.2024 Varea - Haro Deportivo 1:0
    11.02.2024 Alfaro - Varea 1:1
    04.02.2024 Varea - Anguiano 0:2
    21.01.2024 Alberite - Varea 0:4
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2