Racing Santander vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
14/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.473.02
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
82% (399/485)80% (287/357)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.473.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.313.01
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
158
Passes
82% (399/485)80% (287/357)
Long passes
44% (17/39)41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
74% (103/140)57% (48/84)
Crosses
17% (6/35)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.93
Throw-ins
3022
Fouls
815
Tackles
62% (8/13)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
1138
Interceptions
520
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
3.012.31
Goals prevented
-0.990.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Hinojo R. , Sobrino R. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Chacon L. , Pibe (A),
  • 40', 0 - 3, Sobrino R. , Calero I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Vicente I. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 46', Cabanzon Y. , Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 46', Manu , Sangalli M. ,
  • 55', Pibe 🟨,
  • 56', Pibe , Collado D. ,
  • 58', 0 - 4, Collado D. , Chacon L. (A),
  • 64', Ramon P. , Castro J. ,
  • 70', 1 - 4, Canales P. ,
  • 71', Collado D. 🟨,
  • 72', Sobrino R. , Mboula J. ,
  • 72', Diallo Selu M. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 72', Michelin C. , Camara S. ,
  • 80', Barzic M. , Fornos Q. ,
  • 80', Hinojo R. , Larios J. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 4, Martin A. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yuypd8nc

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
54.9%
Draw
25%
Leonesa
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 22.7% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 21.9% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Santander's form might have worsened.
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Santander, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Racing Santander - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.51)
    4.41
    (4.14)
    5.43
    (6.18)
    -11.9%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 18 - 90%). Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 76.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Leonesa (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing Santander will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Leonesa (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • Racing is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Leonesa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Racing is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Racing: Gueye M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Racing won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Latest results of Leonesa
    10.09.2025 Alcorcón - Leonesa 0:1
    07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    15.08.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 5:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander27155753:351850
    2Castellon27147645:261949
    3Almeria27146752:391348
    4Dep. La Coruna27137741:291246
    5Malaga27135940:31944
    6Las Palmas271012531:22942
    7Cordoba27118837:33441
    8Gijon271251038:36241
    9Ceuta271251035:39-441
    10Burgos CF27117929:26340
    11Eibar27981028:29-135
    12Cadiz CF27981028:32-435
    13Real Sociedad B27971136:36034
    14Albacete27971132:38-634
    15Leganes27891029:28133
    16Granada CF27711932:32032
    17Andorra27881131:39-832
    18Huesca27861326:36-1030
    19Valladolid27781228:38-1029
    20Cultural Leonesa27761427:41-1427
    21Mirandes27661528:44-1624
    22Zaragoza27591323:40-1724

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