Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 30
- Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/444) | 82% (335/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/444) | 82% (335/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 30% (14/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (101/148) | 72% (75/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Canales P. (A),
- 45+1', Garcia V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Moreno V. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
- 46', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
- 55', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Calero I. ⚽, Collado D. (A),
- 65', Guliashvili G. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
- 65', Castro J. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
- 65', Garcia M. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
- 76', Barzic M. 🟨,
- 78', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
- 88', Ojeda T. 🟨,
- 88', Martin A. 🟨,
- 89', Vicente I. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 90+2', Ojeda T. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
- 90+2', Garcia V. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5eaxywdp
Chances of winning
Leonesa
29.2% | Draw
27.2% | Racing Santander
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Santander, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leonesa - Racing Santander Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.82) |
3.45 ↓
(3.47) |
2.18 ↓
(2.4) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Racing Santander?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Leonesa (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Racing Santander will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 50%). Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 2.
- Recent form of Leonesa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Racing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Racing might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Leonesa: Radoja N.
(Injury)
Ribeiro L.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Inactive)
Lozano M.
(Knee Injury)
Mantilla A.
(Injury)
Ramon P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Villalibre A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Racing Santander?
Leonesa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Santander won against Leonesa?
Racing Santander has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Racing Santander were as follows:
14.09.2025
Racing Santander
-
Leonesa
2:4
Latest results of Leonesa
Latest results of Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 62:40 | 22 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 46:34 | 12 | 52 |
| 3 | Almeria | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 56:42 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Malaga | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Castellon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 48 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Gijon | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 37:45 | -8 | 44 |
| 10 | Eibar | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41:43 | -2 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad B | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 40 |
| 13 | Andorra | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:41 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | Albacete | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Cadiz CF | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 38 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 18 | Leganes | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 19 | Huesca | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28:49 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
