Racing vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.380.71
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Passes
80% (314/392)70% (254/361)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.380.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.84
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
33
Shots outside the box
106
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
105
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free kicks
119
Passes
80% (314/392)70% (254/361)
Long passes
45% (25/56)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)52% (50/97)
Crosses
6% (1/17)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.26
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
911
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
2811
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.840.96
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Miljevic M. 🟨,
  • 31', Miljevic M. 🟨,
  • 36', Solari S. 🟨,
  • 41', Adrian Martinez , Conechny T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. , Rios G. (A),
  • 64', Zuculini B. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 64', Solari S. , Zaracho M. ,
  • 68', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 68', Fernandez M. , Crego D. ,
  • 68', Rios G. , Atencio R. ,
  • 69', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 77', Fernandez A. , Vergara D. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Conechny T. , Rojas G. (A),
  • 81', Osella A. , Gomez L. ,
  • 81', Villalba I. , Dadin B. ,
  • 82', Villa S. 🟨,
  • 88', Sartori F. , Ramis V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
51.7%
Draw
28.5%
Independiente Rivadavia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.3% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Racing - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.67)
    3.3
    (3.58)
    4.81
    (5.43)
    5.8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Independiente R (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Independiente R is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Pizarro D. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A. (Broken collarbone)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    06.10.2025 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    27.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Racing 2:1
    10.11.2024 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Racing
    20.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Racing 0:0
    14.02.2026 Banfield - Racing 0:2
    02.02.2026 Tigre - Racing 3:1
    28.01.2026 Racing - Rosario Central 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)