Result
1:1
26/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/392) | 70% (254/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/392) | 70% (254/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (56/89) | 52% (50/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Miljevic M. 🟨,
- 31', Miljevic M. 🟨,
- 36', Solari S. 🟨,
- 41', Adrian Martinez ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Rios G. (A),
- 64', Zuculini B. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 64', Solari S. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 68', Fernandez M. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
- 68', Rios G. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 69', Villalba I. 🟨,
- 77', Fernandez A. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Conechny T. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
- 81', Osella A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 81', Villalba I. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,
- 82', Villa S. 🟨,
- 88', Sartori F. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Racing
51.7% | Draw
28.5% | Independiente Rivadavia
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Racing - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.67) |
3.3 ↓
(3.58) |
4.81 ↓
(5.43) |
5.8%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing - Independiente Rivadavia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Independiente R (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Independiente R is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Racing: Pizarro D.
(Inactive)
Torres E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A.
(Broken collarbone)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Racing has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Racing?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
06.10.2025
Racing
-
Independiente Rivadavia
0:0
27.03.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Racing
2:1
10.11.2024
Racing
-
Independiente Rivadavia
2:1
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
