Racing vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:1
26/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.380.71
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Passes
80% (314/392)70% (254/361)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.380.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.84
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
33
Shots outside the box
106
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
105
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free kicks
119
Passes
80% (314/392)70% (254/361)
Long passes
45% (25/56)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)52% (50/97)
Crosses
6% (1/17)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.26
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
911
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
2811
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.840.96
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Miljevic M. 🟨,
  • 31', Miljevic M. 🟨,
  • 36', Solari S. 🟨,
  • 41', Adrian Martinez ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Rios G. (A),
  • 64', Zuculini B. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
  • 64', Solari S. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
  • 68', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 68', Fernandez M. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
  • 68', Rios G. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
  • 69', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 77', Fernandez A. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Conechny T. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
  • 81', Osella A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
  • 81', Villalba I. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,
  • 82', Villa S. 🟨,
  • 88', Sartori F. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
51.7%		Draw
28.5%		Independiente Rivadavia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.3% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Racing - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.83 ↑
    (1.67)    		 3.3 ↓
    (3.58)    		 4.81 ↓
    (5.43)    		 5.8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 57.1% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Independiente R (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Independiente R is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Pizarro D. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A. (Broken collarbone)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    06.10.2025 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    27.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Racing 2:1
    10.11.2024 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Racing
    20.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Racing 0:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Banfield - Racing 0:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Racing - Argentinos Juniors 2:1 ✺
    02.02.2026 Tigre - Racing 3:1 ✺
    28.01.2026 Racing - Rosario Central 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano 0:1 ✺
    09.02.2026 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia 0:1 ✺
    03.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia 1:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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