Racing vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.380.71
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Passes
80% (314/392)70% (254/361)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.380.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.84
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
33
Shots outside the box
106
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
105
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free kicks
119
Passes
80% (314/392)70% (254/361)
Long passes
45% (25/56)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)52% (50/97)
Crosses
6% (1/17)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.26
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
911
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
2811
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.840.96
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Miljevic M. 🟨,
  • 31', Miljevic M. 🟨,
  • 36', Solari S. 🟨,
  • 41', Adrian Martinez , Conechny T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. , Rios G. (A),
  • 64', Zuculini B. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 64', Solari S. , Zaracho M. ,
  • 68', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 68', Fernandez M. , Crego D. ,
  • 68', Rios G. , Atencio R. ,
  • 69', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 77', Fernandez A. , Vergara D. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Conechny T. , Rojas G. (A),
  • 81', Osella A. , Gomez L. ,
  • 81', Villalba I. , Dadin B. ,
  • 82', Villa S. 🟨,
  • 88', Sartori F. , Ramis V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
51.7%
Draw
28.5%
Independiente Rivadavia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.3% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Racing - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.67)
    3.3
    (3.58)
    4.81
    (5.43)
    5.8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Independiente R (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Independiente R is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Pizarro D. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A. (Broken collarbone)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    06.10.2025 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    27.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Racing 2:1
    10.11.2024 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Racing
    20.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Racing 0:0
    14.02.2026 Banfield - Racing 0:2
    02.02.2026 Tigre - Racing 3:1
    28.01.2026 Racing - Rosario Central 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)