SD Aucas vs Racing – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores SD Aucas - Racing
Result
1:2
23/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
brazilBrazilESPN 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


SD Aucas
43.7%
Draw
28.2%
Racing
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 28.2% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 28% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.
  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • SD Aucas - Racing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.57)
    3.32
    (3.3)
    3.32
    (2.61)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Racing?
  • Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Aucas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Racing has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Aucas will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aucas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Racing were as follows:
    20.04.2023 Racing - SD Aucas 3:2
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    20.05.2023 Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas 0:0
    13.05.2023 SD Aucas - Gualaceo 1:0
    02.05.2023 Ñublense - SD Aucas 2:1
    24.04.2023 SD Aucas - Cumbayá 2:1
    Latest results of Racing
    14.05.2023 Platense - Racing 3:0
    04.05.2023 Racing - Flamengo 1:1
    20.04.2023 Racing - SD Aucas 3:2
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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