SD Aucas vs Racing – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores SD Aucas - Racing
Result
1:2
23/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
brazilBrazilESPN 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


SD Aucas
43.7%
Draw
28.2%
Racing
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 28.2% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 28% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.
  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • SD Aucas - Racing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.57)
    3.32
    (3.3)
    3.32
    (2.61)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Racing?
  • Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Aucas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Racing has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Aucas will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aucas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Racing were as follows:
    20.04.2023 Racing - SD Aucas 3:2
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    20.05.2023 Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas 0:0
    13.05.2023 SD Aucas - Gualaceo 1:0
    02.05.2023 Ñublense - SD Aucas 2:1
    24.04.2023 SD Aucas - Cumbayá 2:1
    Latest results of Racing
    14.05.2023 Platense - Racing 3:0
    04.05.2023 Racing - Flamengo 1:1
    20.04.2023 Racing - SD Aucas 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ