Mornar Bar vs Radnički 1923 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1 penalties
31/07/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Leibovitz G. (Isr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV
montenegroMontenegroTVCG 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
714
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
47
Blocked Shots
02
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
45
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Fouls
1423
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
43
Attacks
89163
Dangerous Attacks
10196

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Mitrovic F. 🟨,
  • 33', Dubljevic B. , Kishi K. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ondong-Mba C. , Zoric D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Baosic J. 🟨,
  • 60', Serbecic B. , Evandro ,
  • 60', Gluscevic M. , Sahli O. ,
  • 63', Vukotic B. , Seratlic E. ,
  • 63', Zoric D. , Cetkovic M. ,
  • 74', Baosic J. , Ljutica V. ,
  • 77', Bevis K. 🟨,
  • 77', Kaludjerovic A. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Ondong-Mba C. , Stevanovic S. (A),
  • 84', Bevis K. , Rosevic M. ,
  • 89', Cosic M. , Adzic B. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Aleksic M. , Rosevic M. (A),
  • 90+10', Baosic J. 🟥,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 96', Sahli O. 🟨,
  • 97', Stevanovic S. , Vukovic N. ,
  • 98', Vusurovic M. , Trifunovic V. ,
  • 99', Dadic T. 🟨,
  • 109', Sahli O. , Bukumira N. ,
  • 112', Vukovic N. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Evandro (Pen),
  • 1, Djurisic M. (Pen),
  • 2, Ristic M. (Pen),
  • 2, Cetkovic M. (Pen),
  • 3, Simovic S. (Pen),
  • 3, Kishi K. (Pen),
  • 4, Aleksic M. (Pen),
  • 4, Kaludjerovic A. (Pen),
  • 5, Vidosavljevic M. (Pen),
  • 5, Mitrovic F. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Mornar Bar
21.5%
Draw
25.3%
Radnički 1923
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 24.4% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 23% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Radnički 1923 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Mornar Bar aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički 1923 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Mornar Bar - Radnički 1923 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (4.04)
    3.7
    (3.77)
    1.76
    (1.74)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mornar Bar - Radnički 1923?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mornar Bar will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Radnički 1923 will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički 1923: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - DG Arena. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Recent matches Mornar Bar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Radnički 1923 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Mornar Bar have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Radnički 1923 have a series of home games.
    • In this match Radnički 1923 is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mornar Bar - Radnički 1923 were as follows:
    25.07.2024 Radnički 1923 - Mornar Bar 1:0
    Latest results of Mornar Bar
    Latest results of Radnički 1923
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2