Result
2:3
10/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.87 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
76% (288/377) | 64% (147/231) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.87 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.52 | 2.63 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
76% (288/377) | 64% (147/231) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (19/47) | 23% (14/60) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (106/157) | 54% (40/74) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (6/23) | 40% (4/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 1.44 |
Throw-ins |
---|
39 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.63 | 1.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.37 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽, Davidovic I. (A),
- 38', Ilic V. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Bosic R. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Belakovic N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Abdullahi A. ↓, Togbe S. ↑,
- 46', Iyede S. ↓, Opara E. ↑,
- 46', Omoregbe B. ↓, Bojat D. ↑,
- 58', Sreckovic N. ↓, Nisic J. ↑,
- 64', Petkovic M. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 67', Mboup B. ↓, Mijailovic M. ↑,
- 67', Petrovic D. ↓, Nikolic S. ↑,
- 73', Davidovic I. ↓, Malekinusic M. ↑,
- 78', Miletic N. 🟨,
- 79', Ilic V. ↓, Spasic M. ↑,
- 79', Belakovic N. ↓, Ewemade D. ↑,
- 84', Malekinusic M. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Alic S. ⚽, Opara E. (A),
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Opara E. ⚽, Malekinusic M. (A),
- 90+9', Samcovic Z. 🟨,
- 90+11', Milosavljevic R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radnički Niš 46.1% | Draw 26.7% | Novi Pazar 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnički Niš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnički Niš's performance.Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novi Pazar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnički Niš that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novi Pazar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.54) |
3.44 ↑ (3.4) |
3.38 ↑ (2.54) |
8.7% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
Radnički Niš will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Radnički Niš will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnički Niš won 1.
- Radnički Niš is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Novi Pazar is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Radnički Niš may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Radnički Niš has had a series of away games.
- Radnički Niš might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnički Niš won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnički Niš won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnički Niš won against Novi Pazar?
Radnički Niš has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Radnički Niš?
Novi Pazar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar were as follows:
07.04.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Radnički Niš
3:3
09.11.2024
Radnički Niš
-
Novi Pazar
2:1
24.05.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Radnički Niš
2:1
15.04.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Radnički Niš
2:2
10.11.2023
Radnički Niš
-
Novi Pazar
0:1
Latest results of Radnički Niš
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
2 | Partizan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
3 | Vojvodina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | TSC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Cukaricki | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
7 | Mladost | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
8 | Radnicki Nis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Novi Pazar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Radnik | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Sp. Subotica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
13 | OFK Beograd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
14 | Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Napredak | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
16 | Javor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
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