Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 19
- Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (231/306) | 85% (464/548) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (231/306) | 85% (464/548) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 49% (37/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/79) | 68% (114/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Bosic R. 🟨,
- 44', Milosavljevic R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Petkovic M. ↓, Opara E. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Sadi D. ⚽, Stanisavljevic S. (A),
- 58', Sadi D. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 58', Alilovic Z. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 63', Milosavljevic R. ↓, Mboup B. ↑,
- 71', Izderic L. ↓, Nikolic S. ↑,
- 71', Ilic V. ↓, Sreckovic N. ↑,
- 77', Davidovic I. ↓, Backulja F. ↑,
- 88', Ashkovski S. ↓, Kone ↑,
- 89', Mirosavic V. ↓, Hadzimujovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
49.5% | Draw
27.5% | Radnički Niš
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Radnički Niš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.8) |
3.36 ↓
(3.6) |
3.98 ↓
(4.6) |
8.4%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Novi Pazar will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 2.
- Novi Pazar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Radnički Niš has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Novi Pazar is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Radnički Niš?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radnički Niš won against Novi Pazar?
Radnički Niš has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš were as follows:
10.08.2025
Radnički Niš
-
Novi Pazar
2:3
07.04.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Radnički Niš
3:3
09.11.2024
Radnički Niš
-
Novi Pazar
2:1
24.05.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Radnički Niš
2:1
15.04.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Radnički Niš
2:2
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
