Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Matic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (185/245) | 81% (289/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (185/245) | 81% (289/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 64% (56/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 63% (72/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Tufegdzic L. ↓, Nikcevic B. ↑,
- 25', Gasic M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Jovanovic D. ⚽, Bogdanovic V. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Bogdanovic V. ⚽, Jovanovic D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Stojanovic A. ↓, Maiga I. ↑,
- 59', Stojanovic L. 🟨,
- 60', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Puzovic L. ↑,
- 60', Ilic U. ↓, Blagojevic U. ↑,
- 63', Matijasevic F. ↓, Pavkov M. ↑,
- 63', Nikcevic B. ↓, Mbong P. ↑,
- 77', Tremoulet S. 🟨,
- 79', Miladinovic U. ↓, Radosavljevic V. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 86', Pejovic A. ↓, Pavlov E. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Pavlov E. ⚽,
- 90+1', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Petrovic V. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Tedic S. ⚽, Jovancic D. (A),
Chances of winning
Radnik Surdulica
46.5% | Draw
29.4% | Čukarički
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Čukarički might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Čukarički could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.75) |
4.35 ↑
(3.3) |
5.32 ↑
(2.4) |
-21.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Čukarički will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 0.
- Radnik is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Čukarički is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Radnik has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Čukarički?
Radnik Surdulica has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Čukarički won against Radnik Surdulica?
Čukarički has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički were as follows:
09.02.2024
Radnik Surdulica
-
Čukarički
0:3
27.08.2023
Čukarički
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:0
04.05.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Čukarički
0:1
05.03.2023
Čukarički
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
05.09.2022
Radnik Surdulica
-
Čukarički
0:4
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Latest results of Čukarički
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Partizan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 41:7 | 34 | 30 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:10 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 20 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Javor | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | TSC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Mladost | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:28 | -15 | 14 |
| 13 | Radnik | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Sp. Subotica | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Radnicki Nis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Napredak | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10:30 | -20 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
