Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Matic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.47 | 1.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
76% (185/245) | 81% (289/358) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.47 | 1.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.62 | 0.40 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
76% (185/245) | 81% (289/358) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (27/59) | 64% (56/88) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (64/91) | 63% (72/115) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 40% (8/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 0.98 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 30 |
Fouls |
---|
23 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
74% (17/23) | 82% (9/11) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.40 | 2.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.60 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Tufegdzic L. ↓, Nikcevic B. ↑,
- 25', Gasic M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Jovanovic D. ⚽, Bogdanovic V. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Bogdanovic V. ⚽, Jovanovic D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Stojanovic A. ↓, Maiga I. ↑,
- 59', Stojanovic L. 🟨,
- 60', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Puzovic L. ↑,
- 60', Ilic U. ↓, Blagojevic U. ↑,
- 63', Matijasevic F. ↓, Pavkov M. ↑,
- 63', Nikcevic B. ↓, Mbong P. ↑,
- 77', Tremoulet S. 🟨,
- 79', Miladinovic U. ↓, Radosavljevic V. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 86', Pejovic A. ↓, Pavlov E. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Pavlov E. ⚽,
- 90+1', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Petrovic V. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Tedic S. ⚽, Jovancic D. (A),
Chances of winning
Radnik Surdulica 46.5% | Draw 29.4% | Čukarički 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Čukarički might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Čukarički could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.76 ↑ (2.75) |
4.35 ↑ (3.3) |
5.32 ↑ (2.4) |
-21.9% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Čukarički will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 0.
- Radnik is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Čukarički is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Radnik has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Čukarički?
Radnik Surdulica has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Čukarički won against Radnik Surdulica?
Čukarički has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički were as follows:
09.02.2024
Radnik Surdulica
-
Čukarički
0:3
27.08.2023
Čukarički
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:0
04.05.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Čukarički
0:1
05.03.2023
Čukarički
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
05.09.2022
Radnik Surdulica
-
Čukarički
0:4
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Latest results of Čukarički
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crvena zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
3 | Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Partizan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
6 | Novi Pazar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
7 | TSC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
8 | OFK Beograd | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
9 | Mladost | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
10 | Radnicki Nis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Sp. Subotica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
12 | Radnik | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
13 | IMT Novi Beograd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
14 | Radnicki 1923 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
15 | Napredak | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
16 | Javor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
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