Result
2:0
16/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 5
- Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (189/259) | 73% (250/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (189/259) | 73% (250/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/61) | 49% (33/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 56% (57/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Abubakar S. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Opara E. ⚽, Marinkovic J. (A),
- 44', Marinkovic J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Abubakar S. ↓, Stojanovic D. ↑,
- 50', Owusu D. 🟨,
- 55', Jovanovic D. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Malekinusic M. ⚽, Marinkovic J. (A),
- 58', Stevanovic M. ↓, Puzovic L. ↑,
- 58', Jovanovic D. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 70', Davidovic I. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 72', Ilic U. ↓, Blagojevic U. ↑,
- 72', Pejovic A. ↓, Pavlov E. ↑,
- 76', Malekinusic M. 🟨,
- 77', Malekinusic M. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 82', Opara E. ↓, Iyede S. ↑,
- 82', Togbe S. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
41% | Draw
27.8% | Radnik Surdulica
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novi Pazar's form might have worsened.Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novi Pazar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.85) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
2.99 ↓
(4.4) |
7.1%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radnik (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 3.
- Recent form of Novi Pazar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Radnik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Novi Pazar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Radnik Surdulica?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Novi Pazar?
Radnik Surdulica has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica were as follows:
27.04.2024
Radnik Surdulica
-
Novi Pazar
1:4
15.12.2023
Novi Pazar
-
Radnik Surdulica
2:1
20.08.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Novi Pazar
0:0
06.04.2023
Novi Pazar
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
07.10.2022
Radnik Surdulica
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vojvodina | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Partizan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Crvena zvezda | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:3 | 18 | 15 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Cukaricki | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Radnicki 1923 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | TSC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Javor | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Napredak | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Mladost | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | IMT Novi Beograd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 14 | Sp. Subotica | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Radnicki Nis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Radnik | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
