Result
2:2
08/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Matic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (333/420) | 73% (225/307) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (333/420) | 73% (225/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (29/59) | 44% (32/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (81/121) | 49% (51/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Novakovic M. 🟨,
- 35', Izderic L. ↓, Nikolic S. ↑,
- 39', 0 - 1, Shestyuk A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', Spasic M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Kanoute F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 2, Kanoute F. ⚽,
- 64', Stojanovic L. ↓, Urie A. ↑,
- 66', Shestyuk A. ↓, Abass I. ↑,
- 66', Spasic M. ↓, Mustapha I. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Novakovic M. ⚽,
- 73', Raskovic S. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 80', Vitas U. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Novakovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Ivanovic I. 🟨,
- 86', Ivanovic I. ↓, Milicevic A. ↑,
- 90', Kanoute F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ariyibi G. ↓, Jokic R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Radnik Surdulica 45% | Draw 30.9% | Radnički Niš 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Radnički Niš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.95) |
2.99 ↓ (3.45) |
3.86 ↓ (4) |
7.8% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Radnik (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radnik (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 1.
- Radnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Radnički Niš is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Radnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Radnik might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Radnički Niš?
Radnik Surdulica has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radnički Niš won against Radnik Surdulica?
Radnički Niš has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš were as follows:
03.10.2025
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
4:2
21.04.2024
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
03.03.2024
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:3
22.09.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Radnički Niš
0:0
15.07.2023
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Latest results of Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )