Result
4:2
03/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 11
- Referee: Trifkovic D. (Srb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (270/368) | 67% (206/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (270/368) | 67% (206/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 61% (63/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 3.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Bosic R. (Pen),
- 27', 2 - 0, Spasic M. ⚽,
- 33', 3 - 0, Bosic R. (Pen),
- 37', Chinedu S. 🟥,
- 41', Micevic N. 🟨,
- 42', 3 - 1, Pejovic A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 4 - 1, Spasic M. ⚽,
- 52', Nikolic S. 🟨,
- 52', Pejovic A. ↓, Duronjic B. ↑,
- 62', Nikolic S. ↓, Izderic L. ↑,
- 63', Bosic R. ↓, Mboup B. ↑,
- 66', Popovic M. ↓, Puzovic L. ↑,
- 66', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Novakovic M. ↑,
- 69', 4 - 2, Bogdanovic V. (Pen),
- 76', Ashkovski S. ↓, Yamkam M. ↑,
- 76', Nisic J. ↓, Kanoute F. ↑,
- 82', Jovanovic D. ↓, Blagojevic U. ↑,
- 85', Ilic V. ↓, Mijailovic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Radnički Niš
40.3% | Draw
29.5% | Radnik Surdulica
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnički Niš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnički Niš's performance.Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnik Surdulica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.62) |
3.13 ↓
(3.2) |
3.05 ↑
(2.52) |
8.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Radnički Niš will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički Niš: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnički Niš won 2.
- Recent form of Radnički Niš has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Radnik has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Radnički Niš could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnički Niš won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnički Niš won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnički Niš won against Radnik Surdulica?
Radnički Niš has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Radnički Niš?
Radnik Surdulica has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica were as follows:
21.04.2024
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
03.03.2024
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:3
22.09.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Radnički Niš
0:0
15.07.2023
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
18.02.2023
Radnički Niš
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:0
Latest results of Radnički Niš
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Partizan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 41:7 | 34 | 30 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:10 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 20 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Javor | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | TSC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Mladost | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:28 | -15 | 14 |
| 13 | Radnik | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Sp. Subotica | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Radnicki Nis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Napredak | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10:30 | -20 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
