Radu Albot vs Daniil Ostapenkov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
63%69%
1st serve points won
69% (41/59)60% (40/67)
2nd serve points won
53% (18/34)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
89% (16/18)55% (6/11)
1st return points won
40% (27/67)31% (18/59)
2nd return points won
53% (16/30)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)11% (2/18)
Winners
1824
Unforced errors
3964
Net points won
75% (6/8)62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
63% (59/93)56% (54/97)
Return Points Won
44% (43/97)37% (34/93)
Total Points Won
54% (102/190)46% (88/190)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
85% (11/13)64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)15% (2/13)
Total games won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Radu Albot
61.9%
Daniil Ostapenkov
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radu Albot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radu Albot than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radu Albot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Radu Albot - Daniil Ostapenkov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.49)

    2.48
    (2.59)
    5.6%
    (5.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Albot is ranked ATP: 429. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 737.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Albot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Albot might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Albot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Radu Albot
    18.01.2026 Radu Albot - Dominik Kellovsky Canceled
    04.01.2026 Radu Albot - Ben Jones 1:2
    21.11.2025 Jay Clarke - Radu Albot 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (1)Butvilas E.1 : 2
    2Ajdukovic D.Gulin S. (Q)2 : 1
    3Kirkin E. (Q)Boogaard T. (Q)2 : 1
    4McKennon M. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (8)0 : 2
    5Giustino L. (4)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    6Mrva M.Albot R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Geerts M.Martineau M.2 : 0
    8Purtseladze S.Harris L. (5)0 : 2
    9Popko D. (6)Coppejans K.1 : 2
    10Zakaria F. (WC)Zahraj P.0 : 2
    11Durasovic V.Paire B. (WC)2 : 1
    12Gentzsch T.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    13Neumayer L. (7)Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    14Bassem Sobhy M. (WC)Kopp S.2 : 1
    15Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    16Gojo B.Clarke J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Butvilas E.Ajdukovic D.2 : 0
    2Kirkin E.Pacheco Mendez R. (8)0 : 2
    3Blancaneaux G.Mrva M.0 : 2
    4Geerts M.Harris L. (5)1 : 2
    5Coppejans K.Zahraj P.0 : 2
    6Durasovic V.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    7Neumayer L. (7)Bassem Sobhy M.2 : 0
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Gojo B.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Butvilas E.Pacheco Mendez R. (8)2 : 0
    2Mrva M.Harris L. (5)1 : 2
    3Zahraj P.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    4Neumayer L. (7)Gojo B.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Butvilas E.Harris L. (5)1 : 2
    2Pinnington Jones J. (3)Gojo B.2 : 0

    Final
    1Harris L. (5)Pinnington Jones J. (RET.) (3)1 : 0