Rafael De Alba vs Matt Kuhar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
08/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
51%52%
1st serve points won
47% (14/30)82% (18/22)
2nd serve points won
28% (8/29)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
67% (12/18)33% (1/3)
1st return points won
23% (5/22)53% (16/30)
2nd return points won
55% (11/20)72% (21/29)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)33% (6/18)
Winners
910
Unforced errors
4519
Net points won
54% (7/13)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
38% (22/58)64% (27/42)
Return Points Won
36% (15/42)62% (36/58)
Total Points Won
37% (37/100)63% (63/100)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
30
Service games won
25% (2/8)75% (6/8)
Return games won
25% (2/8)75% (6/8)
Total games won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Rafael De Alba
26.5%
Matt Kuhar
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rafael De Alba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael De Alba's form might have worsened.
  • Matt Kuhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matt Kuhar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael De Alba than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rafael De Alba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matt Kuhar than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matt Kuhar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rafael De Alba - Matt Kuhar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.28)

    1.27
    (1.55)
    7.5%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Rafael De Alba - Matt Kuhar?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kuhar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kuhar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • De Alba is ranked ATP: 1131. Kuhar is ranked ATP: 797.
    • Recent form of De Alba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kuhar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kuhar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kuhar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Rafael De Alba
    Latest results of Matt Kuhar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ozolins K. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ghibaudo A.Kennedy J. (JR)0 : 2
    3Perot R.Corwin F. (Q)2 : 1
    4Milavsky D.Smith K. (8)2 : 0
    5Martin A. (3)Kingsley C.0 : 2
    6Arutiunian E.Jones B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Ilagan A.Gima S.2 : 0
    8Langmo C.Johns G. (5)2 : 0
    9Schachter N. (Q)Pieczkowski O.0 : 2
    10Vandecasteele Q. (WC)Forbes M. (WC)2 : 0
    11McCormick T.Strombachs R.0 : 2
    12Dostanic S. (Q)George B. T. (LL)2 : 0
    13Zink T. (7)Azkara A. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Fishback R. (Q)Shick B. (WC)1 : 2
    15Boulais J. (Alt)Bicknell B.1 : 2
    16Loncarevic A. (Q)Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Kennedy J.2 : 0
    2Perot R.Milavsky D.1 : 2
    3Kingsley C.Arutiunian E.2 : 0
    4Ilagan A.Langmo C.2 : 0
    5Pieczkowski O.Vandecasteele Q.2 : 0
    6Strombachs R.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    7Zink T. (7)Shick B.0 : 2
    8Bicknell B.Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Milavsky D.2 : 0
    2Kingsley C.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Pieczkowski O.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    4Shick B.Andrade A. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    2Dostanic S.Andrade A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (1)Dostanic S.0 : 2