Result
2:1
26/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 44% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (22/37) | 56% (20/36) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 38% (17/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 41% (15/37) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 43% (12/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 40% (4/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 47% (37/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (42/79) | 42% (27/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (80/144) | 44% (64/144) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 36% (4/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 39% (9/23) |
Chances of winning
Rafael Jodar
49.3% | Arthur Gea
50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.86) |
|
1.86
(1.86) |
6.6%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rafael Jodar will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Jodar is ranked ATP: 677. Gea is ranked ATP: 295.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Jodar won against Arthur Gea?
Rafael Jodar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Gea won against Rafael Jodar?
Arthur Gea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea were as follows:
Latest results of Rafael Jodar
Latest results of Arthur Gea
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Piraino G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Berrettini J. (Q) | Squire H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Erhard M. | Negritu Ch. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Martin A. | Gakhov I. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Soto M. (4) | Pereira T. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. (JR) | Giustino L. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Dedura D. (NG) | Gea A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. (Alt) | Pacheco Mendez R. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Ferreira Silva F. (6) | Vatutin A. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Cecchinato M. (WC) | Alcala Gurri M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Faurel T. (Q) | Bondioli F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Fonio G. (Q) | Houkes M. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Poljicak M. (7) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Santamarta Roig A. (Q) | Vasami J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Prihodko O. (Alt) | Albot R. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Mikrut L. | Coppejans K. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Berrettini J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Negritu Ch. | Gakhov I. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pereira T. | Jodar R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Gea A. | Roca Batalla O. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ferreira Silva F. (6) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Faurel T. | Houkes M. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Poljicak M. (7) | Vasami J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Prihodko O. | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. | Houkes M. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vasami J. | Mikrut L. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Jodar R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. | Vasami J. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
