Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norrie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
70%83%
1st serve points won
81% (25/31)61% (20/33)
2nd serve points won
85% (11/13)43% (3/7)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)40% (2/5)
1st return points won
39% (13/33)19% (6/31)
2nd return points won
57% (4/7)15% (2/13)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)0% (0/0)
Winners
157
Unforced errors
1322
Net points won
100% (3/3)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
82% (36/44)57% (23/40)
Return Points Won
43% (17/40)18% (8/44)
Total Points Won
63% (53/84)37% (31/84)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Rafael Jodar
43.1%
Cameron Norrie
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.2)

    1.67
    (1.67)
    5.2%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Norrie will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 48.9%92.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Norrie (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rafael Jodar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Jodar (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Norrie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jodar is ranked ATP: 118. Norrie is ranked ATP: 27.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    Latest results of Cameron Norrie
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    3Atmane T.Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    4Jodar R. (WC)Norrie C. (7)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (3)Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Svrcina D.0 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (8)Borges N.2 : 0
    10Walton A.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    12Altmaier D.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)0 : 2
    13Vacherot V. (6)Wong C. (LL)2 : 1
    14Dzumhur D.Monfils G. (WC)0 : 2
    15Nakashima B.Ymer E. (Q)2 : 0
    16Kypson P. (Q)De Minaur A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    2Atmane T.Jodar R.2 : 1
    3Wu Y.Shimabukuro S.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    5Tiafoe F. (8)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Bellucci M.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)2 : 0
    7Vacherot V. (6)Monfils G.2 : 0
    8Nakashima B.Kypson P.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M.Atmane T.2 : 0
    2Wu Y.Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    3Tiafoe F. (8)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    4Vacherot V. (6)Nakashima B.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kecmanovic M.Cobolli F. (5)1 : 2
    2Tiafoe F. (8)Nakashima B.2 : 1

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (5)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0