Rafael Jodar vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Pozoblanco Challenger Men Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar
Result
0:2
16/07/2025 at 16:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
70%73%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (24/37)72% (33/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (9/16)65% (11/17)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
28% (13/46)35% (13/37)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (6/17)44% (7/16)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)75% (3/4)
Winners
812
Unforced Errors
2926
Net Points Won
20% (1/5)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
62% (33/53)70% (44/63)
Return Points Won
30% (19/63)38% (20/53)
Total Points Won
45% (52/116)55% (64/116)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Rafael Jodar
57.2%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.75)

    2.17
    (2.02)
    6.9%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jodar is ranked ATP: 555. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 233.
    • Jodar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Merida Aguilar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jodar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
    07.04.2024 Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar 0:2
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Grenier H. (1)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    2Alves M.Winter E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Sanchez Izquierdo N.Elias G.1 : 2
    4Cejudo M. (WC)Crawford O. (8)0 : 2
    5Monday J. (4)Andaloro F. (Q)2 : 0
    6Soto M.Martineau M.2 : 1
    7Jodar R. (WC)Alvarez Varona N.2 : 1
    8Bertrand R. (Alt)Merida Aguilar D. (5)1 : 2
    9Sultanov K. (7)Purtseladze S.2 : 1
    10Pereira T. (Alt)Lopez Escribano A. (WC)2 : 0
    11Cui J.Butvilas E.0 : 2
    12Added D.Moro Canas A. (3)0 : 2
    13Sun F. (6)Escoffier A.2 : 0
    14Blanch Dar. (Q)Martinez A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Shah A. (Q)Coulibaly E.2 : 1
    16Peniston R. (Q)Kukushkin M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Grenier H. (1)Winter E.2 : 0
    2Elias G.Crawford O. (8)1 : 2
    3Monday J. (4)Soto M.2 : 0
    4Jodar R.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Sultanov K. (7)Pereira T.0 : 2
    6Butvilas E.Moro Canas A. (3)2 : 0
    7Sun F. (6)Blanch Dar.2 : 1
    8Shah A.Peniston R.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Grenier H. (1)Crawford O. (8)1 : 2
    2Monday J. (4)Merida Aguilar D. (5)1 : 2
    3Pereira T.Butvilas E.2 : 0
    4Sun F. (6)Shah A.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Crawford O. (8)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Pereira T.Sun F. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Sun F. (6)2 : 0