Rafael Jodar vs Lucas Poullain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hersonissos 4 Challenger Men Rafael Jodar - Lucas Poullain
Result
2:0
20/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
60%62%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (27/41)65% (24/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)43% (10/23)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
35% (13/37)34% (14/41)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (13/23)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)33% (2/6)
Winners
239
Unforced Errors
4331
Net Points Won
73% (11/15)100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
60% (41/68)56% (33/59)
Return Points Won
44% (26/59)40% (27/68)
Total Points Won
53% (67/127)47% (60/127)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Rafael Jodar
76.3%
Lucas Poullain
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Jodar's performance.
  • Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rafael Jodar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rafael Jodar - Lucas Poullain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.37)

    3.94
    (2.9)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jodar is ranked ATP: 395. Poullain is ranked ATP: 358.
    • Jodar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Poullain's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jodar is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    16.08.2025 Rafael Jodar - Dan Added 2:0
    15.08.2025 Rafael Jodar - Petr Brunclik Brunclik P. retired
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Hara Friend J. D. (CO)2 : 1
    2Castagnola L. (LL)Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)1 : 2
    3Thanos A.Rosenkranz M.1 : 2
    4Lokoli L.Langmo C. (8)0 : 2
    5Paul J. (4)Wendelken H. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bicknell B. (PR)Potenza L. (Q)2 : 0
    7Moroni F. (Q)Andaloro F.2 : 0
    8Azoidis D. (WC)Bertrand R. (6)0 : 2
    9Sakellaridis S. (5)Giunta M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Wiskandt M.Jones M.1 : 2
    11Jodar R.Wallart E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Poullain L.Martineau M. (3)2 : 0
    13Added D. (7)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    14Searle H.Reymond A. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Ursu V.Xilas I. (WC)1 : 2
    16Parker S.Gengel M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Tsitsipas Pa.2 : 1
    2Rosenkranz M.Langmo C. (8)2 : 1
    3Paul J. (4)Bicknell B.2 : 1
    4Moroni F.Bertrand R. (6)1 : 2
    5Sakellaridis S. (5)Jones M.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Added D. (7)Searle H.2 : 0
    8Xilas I.Parker S.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Rosenkranz M.2 : 0
    2Paul J. (4)Bertrand R. (6)1 : 2
    3Sakellaridis S. (5)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Added D. (7)Xilas I.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Bertrand R. (6)2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Added D. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Echargui M. (1)Added D. (RET.) (7)1 : 1