Result
2:1
14/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 72% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (34/50) | 70% (42/60) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 43% (10/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 67% (8/12) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 32% (16/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 33% (9/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 32 | 42 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (53/78) | 60% (49/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (32/81) | 32% (25/78) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (85/159) | 47% (74/159) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 44% (12/27) |
Chances of winning
Rafael Jodar
57.9% | Nicolas Alvarez Varona
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+5%)
Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.73) |
|
2.22 ↑
(2) |
7.2%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rafael Jodar will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Jodar is ranked ATP: 554. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 307.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Alvarez Varona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Jodar won against Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
Rafael Jodar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Alvarez Varona won against Rafael Jodar?
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona were as follows:
Latest results of Rafael Jodar
Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Grenier H. (1) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Alves M. | Winter E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Elias G. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Cejudo M. (WC) | Crawford O. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Monday J. (4) | Andaloro F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Soto M. | Martineau M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Jodar R. (WC) | Alvarez Varona N. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bertrand R. (Alt) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Sultanov K. (7) | Purtseladze S. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Pereira T. (Alt) | Lopez Escribano A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cui J. | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Added D. | Moro Canas A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Sun F. (6) | Escoffier A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Blanch Dar. (Q) | Martinez A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Shah A. (Q) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Peniston R. (Q) | Kukushkin M. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Grenier H. (1) | Winter E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Elias G. | Crawford O. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Monday J. (4) | Soto M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jodar R. | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sultanov K. (7) | Pereira T. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sun F. (6) | Blanch Dar. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Shah A. | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Grenier H. (1) | Crawford O. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Monday J. (4) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pereira T. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sun F. (6) | Shah A. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crawford O. (8) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira T. | Sun F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | Sun F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
