Meralco Bolts vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
98:89
29/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Philippine Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Meralco Bolts
53.6%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Meralco Bolts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meralco Bolts's form might have worsened.
  • Rain or Shine Elasto Painters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rain or Shine Elasto Painters's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meralco Bolts than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meralco Bolts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Meralco Bolts - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.5)

    2.03
    (2.5)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 188.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Meralco Bolts - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters?
  • Users Predictions: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rain or Shine Elasto Painters will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 95:93.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meralco Bolts won 3.
    • Meralco Bolts is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rain or Shine has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Meralco Bolts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rain or Shine has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Meralco Bolts won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1893:1846. (average 94.7:92.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Meralco Bolts won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 763:730. (average 95.4:91.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Meralco Bolts - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts 79:96
    11.10.2025 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts 96:95
    27.04.2025 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts 128:116
    01.12.2024 Meralco Bolts - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 121:111
    02.03.2024 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts 117:121
    Latest results of Meralco Bolts
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)NLEX Road Warriors (8)2 : 0
    2Converge FiberXers (4)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (5)1 : 2
    3TNT Tropang Giga (3)Magnolia Hotshots (6)2 : 0
    4Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (2)Meralco Bolts (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (5)4 : 2
    2TNT Tropang Giga (3)Meralco Bolts (7)4 : 1

    Final
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)TNT Tropang Giga (3)4 : 2