Result
2:0
17/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 11
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Pars TV Arabic |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Scotland | BBC Scotland |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Raith TV |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Stewart B. ⚽, Chilokoa-Mullen J. (A),
- 27', MacLeod R. 🟨,
- 44', Brown S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Abdulai N. 🟨,
- 60', MacLeod R. ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
- 61', Matthews R. 🟨,
- 64', O'Connor D. 🟨,
- 64', Hamilton C. 🟨,
- 65', Matthews R. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
- 69', Bray K. ↓, Tod J. ↑,
- 69', Stewart B. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
- 75', Rowe J. ↓, Mullin J. ↑,
- 75', Hamilton J. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Kane Ch. ⚽,
- 87', Kearney S. ↓, Ritchie-Hosler K. ↑,
- 87', Hamilton C. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
- 90+1', Gilmour C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dunfermline Athletic
35.6% | Draw
32.6% | Raith Rovers
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raith Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raith Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.71) |
3.05 ↓
(3.13) |
3.19 ↑
(2.47) |
0.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Raith will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raith (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dunfermline Athletic won against Raith Rovers?
Dunfermline Athletic has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raith Rovers won against Dunfermline Athletic?
Raith Rovers has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers were as follows:
22.08.2025
Raith Rovers
-
Dunfermline Athletic
2:0
14.03.2025
Raith Rovers
-
Dunfermline Athletic
2:0
01.02.2025
Dunfermline Athletic
-
Raith Rovers
3:1
14.12.2024
Raith Rovers
-
Dunfermline Athletic
2:0
13.09.2024
Dunfermline Athletic
-
Raith Rovers
2:0
Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic
Latest results of Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Johnstone | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:13 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 4 | Ayr | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Raith | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Morton | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen's Park | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 9 | Ross County | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Airdrieonians | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premiership
Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
Championship (Relegation)
Relegation ~ League One
