Rakhine United vs ISPE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/03/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
213
Corner kicks
39
Total shots
822
Shots on target
213
Shots off target
69
Corner kicks
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Win Khaing Ye (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', 1 - 1, Zin Min T. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Zay Ya Kyaw ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rakhine United
34.6%
Draw
23.5%
ISPE
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 23.3% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 23.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rakhine United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rakhine United's form might have worsened.
  • ISPE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ISPE's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rakhine United than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rakhine United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ISPE than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ISPE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rakhine United - ISPE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.04)
    3.85
    (3.9)
    2.15
    (2.82)
    10.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rakhine United won 0.
    • Rakhine United is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • ISPE has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • ISPE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rakhine United has had a series of away games.
    • Rakhine United might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rakhine United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 1:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rakhine United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rakhine United - ISPE were as follows:
    03.11.2025 ISPE - Rakhine United 4:1
    15.06.2025 ISPE - Rakhine United 2:2
    31.01.2025 Rakhine United - ISPE 0:0
    13.07.2024 ISPE - Rakhine United 5:1
    07.12.2023 ISPE - Rakhine United 4:0
    Latest results of Rakhine United
    Latest results of ISPE
    11.03.2026 ISPE - Dagon Port 2:1
    04.03.2026 Thitsar Arman - ISPE 2:1
    25.02.2026 ISPE - Shan United 1:6
    15.02.2026 Yarmanya United - ISPE 1:2
    09.02.2026 Dagon - ISPE 3:1
    Myanmar National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shan Utd22184066:105658
    2Yangon Utd22183170:76357
    3Dagon22116539:30939
    4Ispe FC2294935:46-1131
    5Hantharwady Utd2277832:34-228
    6Mahar United2277839:44-528
    7Yadanarbon22751038:38026
    8Ayeyawady22751025:26-126
    9Thitsar Arman2259836:38-224
    10Dagon Port22571044:62-1822
    11Rakhine United22541328:54-2619
    12Yarmanya United22131817:80-636

          Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League
          Relegation