Result
0:2
14/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Israel | Sport 3 |
Poland | TVP Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.82 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (320/411) | 82% (298/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.82 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 9 | 21 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (320/411) | 82% (298/362) |
| Long passes |
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| 44% (23/52) | 46% (17/37) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 51% (42/83) | 78% (87/112) |
| Crosses |
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| 31% (5/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 80% (12/15) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
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| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.12 | 1.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Eissat L. 🟨,
- 41', Haziza D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Barath P. ⚽, Ameyaw M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Eissat L. 🟨,
- 57', Flores D. 🟨,
- 58', Makuch P. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 60', Jovanovic D. ↓, Khalaili I. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Diaby-Fadiga L. (Pen),
- 78', Haziza D. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
- 79', Cornud P. ↓, Saief K. ↑,
- 79', Naor G. ↓, Kassa L. ↑,
- 85', Azoulay E. 🟨,
- 85', Pienko T. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 86', Ameyaw M. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 88', Bataille J. ↓, Melamed G. ↑,
- 90+3', Barath P. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
- 90+10', Goldberg S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Maccabi Haifa 27.2% | Draw 27.7% | Raków Częstochowa 45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maccabi Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Haifa's form might have worsened.Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Haifa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Haifa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maccabi Haifa - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.38 ↑ (2.77) |
3.36 ↑ (3.35) |
2.11 ↓ (2.4) |
6.8% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Maccabi Haifa - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Maccabi Haifa will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Raków will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.1% – 80.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Maccabi Haifa (votes: 1 - 10%). Raków (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- TQ, OT - Raków (2.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Maccabi Haifa (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Raków (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg. Neutral location - Nagyerdei Stadion.
- Maccabi Haifa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Raków has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maccabi Haifa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Maccabi Haifa won against Raków Częstochowa?
Maccabi Haifa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Maccabi Haifa?
Raków Częstochowa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maccabi Haifa - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
07.08.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Maccabi Haifa
0:1
Latest results of Maccabi Haifa
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal