Raków Częstochowa vs Zrinjski Mostar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
79% (396/499)71% (254/356)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.77
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
79% (396/499)71% (254/356)
Long passes
39% (19/49)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
68% (106/155)59% (52/88)
Crosses
50% (7/14)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.46
Throw-ins
1413
Fouls
1016
Tackles
79% (15/19)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5962
Clearances
2614
Interceptions
1416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
0.770.99
Goals prevented
0.77-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Memija K. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 0, Brunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Djurasek N. 🟨,
  • 57', Mikic L. , Sakota M. ,
  • 57', Djurasek N. , Ivancic A. ,
  • 63', Pranjic J. , Burey T. ,
  • 76', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Makuch P. ,
  • 76', Repka O. , Barath P. ,
  • 83', Brunes J. , Rondic I. ,
  • 83', Adriano , Silva J. C. ,
  • 84', Sakota M. 🟨,
  • 87', Pienko T. , Mircetic B. ,
  • 90+1', Memija K. , Abramovic K. ,

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
63%
Draw
22.5%
Zrinjski Mostar
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.9% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.4% 17.4%

Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.5
(1.57)
4.18
(4.07)
6.54
(5.21)
6.1%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 25 - 83.3%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 70%96.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 50%). Zrinjski (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Raków is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg ✔ 54108:4413
    2Shakhtar Donetsk540110:5512
    3Rakow53208:2611
    4AEK Athens531111:5610
    5Samsunspor531110:4610
    6Sparta Prague53117:3410
    7Rayo Vallecano531110:7310
    8Mainz53115:3210
    9Crystal Palace53029:459
    10AEK Larnaca52306:159
    11Fiorentina53028:449
    12Celje53028:719
    13AZ Alkmaar53027:709
    14Rijeka52215:238
    15Omonia52215:328
    16Lausanne52215:328
    17Noah52216:518
    18Jagiellonia52215:418
    19Drita52214:5-18
    20Lech Poznan521210:737
    21Shkendija52124:407
    22Sigma Olomouc52126:7-17
    23Univ. Craiova52124:5-17
    24Lincoln Red Imps52126:11-57
    25KuPS51314:316
    26Zrinjski52037:9-26
    27Breidablik51225:8-35
    28Dyn. Kyiv51047:9-23
    29Hacken50325:7-23
    30Legia51044:7-33
    31Slovan Bratislava51044:9-53
    32Hamrun51043:8-53
    33Aberdeen50233:11-82
    34Shelbourne50140:7-71
    35Shamrock Rovers50144:12-81
    36SK Rapid50052:13-110

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Strasbourg is Qualified for Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)