Raków Częstochowa vs Zrinjski Mostar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:0
11/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
79% (396/499)71% (254/356)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.77
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
79% (396/499)71% (254/356)
Long passes
39% (19/49)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
68% (106/155)59% (52/88)
Crosses
50% (7/14)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.46
Throw-ins
1413
Fouls
1016
Tackles
79% (15/19)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5962
Clearances
2614
Interceptions
1416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
0.770.99
Goals prevented
0.77-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Memija K. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 0, Brunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Djurasek N. 🟨,
  • 57', Mikic L. ↓, Sakota M. ↑,
  • 57', Djurasek N. ↓, Ivancic A. ↑,
  • 63', Pranjic J. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
  • 76', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
  • 76', Repka O. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
  • 83', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
  • 83', Adriano ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
  • 84', Sakota M. 🟨,
  • 87', Pienko T. ↓, Mircetic B. ↑,
  • 90+1', Memija K. ↓, Abramovic K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
63%		Draw
22.5%		Zrinjski Mostar
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.9% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.4% 17.4%

Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.5 ↓
(1.57)		 4.18 ↑
(4.07)		 6.54 ↑
(5.21)		 6.1%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 25 - 83.3%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 70% – 96.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 50%). Zrinjski (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Raków is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    07.12.2025 Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice 1:0 ✺
    03.12.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa 1:4 ✺
    27.11.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Rapid Wien 4:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    07.12.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar 1:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Rudar Prijedor - Zrinjski Mostar 0:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Posušje 0:2 ✺
    27.11.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Häcken 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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