Manon Leonard vs Raluca Georgiana Serban – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Les Sables d'Olonne, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
72
Double Faults
15
1st serve percentage
60%64%
1st serve points won
64% (39/61)58% (32/55)
2nd serve points won
45% (18/40)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
77% (10/13)69% (9/13)
1st return points won
42% (23/55)36% (22/61)
2nd return points won
48% (15/31)55% (22/40)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)23% (3/13)
Service Points Won
56% (59/105)56% (48/86)
Return Points Won
44% (38/86)44% (46/105)
Total Points Won
51% (97/191)49% (94/191)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Return games won
36% (4/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Manon Leonard
61.9%
Raluca Georgiana Serban
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manon Leonard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manon Leonard's performance.
  • Raluca Georgiana Serban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raluca Georgiana Serban might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manon Leonard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raluca Georgiana Serban than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raluca Georgiana Serban could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manon Leonard - Raluca Georgiana Serban Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.66)

    2.49
    (2.08)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Leonard is ranked WTA: 238. Serban is ranked WTA: 244.
    • In recent matches, Leonard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Serban's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Serban may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manon Leonard - Raluca Georgiana Serban were as follows:
    04.12.2023 Raluca Georgiana Serban - Manon Leonard 2:0
    Latest results of Manon Leonard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Semenistaja D. (RET.) (1)Bolsova Zadoinov A.0 : 1
    2Friedsam A-L.Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    3Burillo Escorihuela I. (RET.)Tan H.0 : 1
    4Korneeva A.Radivojevic L. (5)2 : 1
    5Minnen G. (3)Rosatello C.1 : 2
    6Lemaitre T. (LL)Barthel M.1 : 2
    7Siskova A.Ponchet J.2 : 0
    8Sobolieva A.Salkova D. (8)0 : 2
    9Costoulas S. (6)Paquet C.2 : 0
    10Kazionova E. (Q)Lew Yan Foon A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Yang Y. (Q)Mladenovic K. (WC)1 : 2
    12Ferro F. (WC)Stefanini L. (4)2 : 0
    13Bronzetti L. (7)Lazaro Garcia A.0 : 2
    14Leonard M.Serban R.2 : 0
    15Pigato L.Martynov D. (Q)0 : 2
    16Dodin O. (WC)Korpatsch T. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Bolsova Zadoinov A.Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    2Tan H.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    3Rosatello C.Barthel M.1 : 2
    4Siskova A.Salkova D. (8)0 : 2
    5Costoulas S. (6)Lew Yan Foon A.2 : 0
    6Mladenovic K. (RET.)Ferro F.0 : 1
    7Lazaro Garcia A.Leonard M.2 : 1
    8Martynov D.Dodin O.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Lee C. Y.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    2Barthel M.Salkova D. (8)1 : 2
    3Costoulas S. (6)Ferro F.0 : 2
    4Lazaro Garcia A.Martynov D.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Korneeva A.Salkova D. (8)0 : 2
    2Ferro F.Lazaro Garcia A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Salkova D. (8)Lazaro Garcia A.2 : 0