Result
 
                    1:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        27/09/2025 at  17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Claro Sports | 
|  Nicaragua | NicaSports | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Zamora Y. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 53', 0 - 2, Bonilla L. ⚽, 
- 62', 0 - 3, Castillo E. ⚽, 
- 68', 0 - 4, Guarch T. ⚽, 
- 87', 1 - 4,  ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Matagalpa 65.4%
 | Draw 19.1%
 | Rancho Santana 15.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Matagalpa - Rancho Santana Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.42 ↑ (1.37)
 | 4.88 ↓ (4.95)
 | 5.97 ↓ (6.8)
 | 7.5% (8.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Matagalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Matagalpa is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Rancho Santana?
                    
                    
                        
                            Matagalpa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Rancho Santana won against Matagalpa?
                    
                    
                        
                             Rancho Santana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Matagalpa - Rancho Santana were as follows:
                                                        
                                22.07.2025 
                                Rancho Santana 
                                - 
                                Matagalpa 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.03.2025 
                                Rancho Santana 
                                - 
                                Matagalpa 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.02.2025 
                                Matagalpa 
                                - 
                                Rancho Santana 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.11.2024 
                                Matagalpa 
                                - 
                                Rancho Santana 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.08.2024 
                                Rancho Santana 
                                - 
                                Matagalpa 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Matagalpa                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Rancho Santana                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Diriangen | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40:13 | 27 | 29 | 
| 2 | Managua FC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 29 | 
| 3 | Esteli | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 27 | 
| 4 | Sport Sebaco | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:20 | 7 | 27 | 
| 5 | Ferretti | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 23 | 
| 6 | Matagalpa | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 22 | 
| 7 | Jalapa | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 18 | 
| 8 | UNAN-Managua | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 | 
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14:42 | -28 | 11 | 
| 10 | Real Madriz | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)