Result
1:4
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Nicaragua | NicaSports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Zamora Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 53', 0 - 2, Bonilla L. ⚽,
- 62', 0 - 3, Castillo E. ⚽,
- 68', 0 - 4, Guarch T. ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Matagalpa
65.4% | Draw
19.1% | Rancho Santana
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Rancho Santana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matagalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Matagalpa - Rancho Santana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.37) |
4.88 ↓
(4.95) |
5.97 ↓
(6.8) |
7.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Matagalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Matagalpa is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Rancho Santana?
Matagalpa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rancho Santana won against Matagalpa?
Rancho Santana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matagalpa - Rancho Santana were as follows:
22.07.2025
Rancho Santana
-
Matagalpa
1:2
22.03.2025
Rancho Santana
-
Matagalpa
1:1
26.02.2025
Matagalpa
-
Rancho Santana
2:1
03.11.2024
Matagalpa
-
Rancho Santana
1:0
24.08.2024
Rancho Santana
-
Matagalpa
1:0
Latest results of Matagalpa
Latest results of Rancho Santana
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteli | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Sebaco | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Diriangen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 21 |
| 4 | Managua FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Ferretti | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Matagalpa | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Jalapa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:30 | -17 | 10 |
| 9 | UNAN-Managua | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madriz | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13:29 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)
