Result
2:8
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Nicaragua | Campeones, NicaSports |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Uruguay | DAZN App |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 5)
- 47', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 53', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 5, ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 6, ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 6, ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 7, ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 8, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rancho Santana
18.9% | Draw
22.5% | Matagalpa
58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rancho Santana's form might have worsened.Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matagalpa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rancho Santana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matagalpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rancho Santana - Matagalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.91 ↑
(3.56) |
4.05 ↑
(3.84) |
1.56 ↓
(1.81) |
9.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rancho Santana - Matagalpa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matagalpa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Rancho Santana (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Matagalpa (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Matagalpa will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rancho Santana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Matagalpa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rancho Santana won 2.
- Rancho Santana is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Matagalpa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Matagalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Matagalpa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rancho Santana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rancho Santana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rancho Santana won against Matagalpa?
Rancho Santana has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Rancho Santana?
Matagalpa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rancho Santana - Matagalpa were as follows:
24.01.2026
Matagalpa
-
Rancho Santana
0:2
27.09.2025
Matagalpa
-
Rancho Santana
1:4
22.07.2025
Rancho Santana
-
Matagalpa
1:2
22.03.2025
Rancho Santana
-
Matagalpa
1:1
26.02.2025
Matagalpa
-
Rancho Santana
2:1
Latest results of Rancho Santana
Latest results of Matagalpa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteli | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 28:10 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Diriangen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Jalapa | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Matagalpa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Managua FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Sport Sebaco | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | UNAN-Managua | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 8 | Ferretti | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 12 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:31 | -17 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madriz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)
