Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
12/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
76
Corner kicks
74
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
188
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
112
Corner kicks
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ,
  • 28', Melivilu Fuentes C. 🟨,
  • 28', Mora A. 🟨,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mora P. , Moya G. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Marquez A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Guerra C. ,
  • 80', Ibanez I. , Vicuna M. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez A. , Vasquez K. ,
  • 85', Guerra C. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Servetti C. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Rangers de Talca
42.7%
Draw
29.6%
San Marcos de Arica
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 31.1% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 31.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rangers de Talca's performance.
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rangers de Talca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.47)
    3.1
    (2.94)
    3.3
    (2.86)
    9.3%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-0. Aggregate: 3-0. 2nd leg.
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 0.
    • Rangers is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • San Marcos de Arica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rangers won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    23.11.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Rangers de Talca 1:0
    18.11.2025 Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica 0:2
    31.10.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Rangers de Talca 3:0
    21.06.2025 Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica 1:2
    24.08.2024 Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica 0:0