Raphael Collignon vs Arthur Fery – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mouilleron Le Captif Challenger Men Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fery
Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
112
Double Faults
92
1st Serve Percentage
70%66%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (59/85)77% (47/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (16/37)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
28% (17/61)31% (26/85)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)57% (21/37)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)20% (2/10)
Service Points Won
61% (75/122)66% (60/91)
Return Points Won
34% (31/91)39% (47/122)
Total Points Won
50% (106/213)50% (107/213)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Raphael Collignon
52.2%
Arthur Fery
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raphael Collignon's form might have worsened.
  • Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fery's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raphael Collignon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fery Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.54)

    1.95
    (2.38)
    6.8%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fery?
  • Users Predictions: Arthur Fery will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7%97.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arthur Fery will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Collignon is ranked ATP: 93. Fery is ranked ATP: 229.
    • Collignon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fery has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Collignon could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Collignon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Raphael Collignon
    Latest results of Arthur Fery
    02.10.2025 Arthur Fery - Geoffrey Blancaneaux Blancaneaux G. retired
    13.09.2025 Tomasz Berkieta - Arthur Fery Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Sels J. (Q)2 : 0
    2Poullain L. (Q)Parker S. (Q)0 : 2
    3Stewart H. (Q)Fery A.0 : 2
    4Blancaneaux G. (WC)Bertola R. (Q)2 : 1
    5Blockx A. (3)Bouquier A.2 : 0
    6Stricker D.Ruusuvuori E. (PR)1 : 2
    7Hemery C.Kypson P.0 : 2
    8Searle H. (NG)Herbert P. (5)0 : 2
    9Budkov Kjaer N. (7)Vylegzhanin N. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kaouk M. (WC)Massard L. (WC)0 : 2
    11Cina F.Strombachs R. (LL)0 : 2
    12Rodesch C.Passaro F. (4)0 : 2
    13Galarneau A. (8)Rottgering M. (JR)1 : 2
    14Gueymard Wayenburg S.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    15Zahraj P.Martineau M. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Chidekh C.Gaston H. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Parker S.2 : 0
    2Fery A.Blancaneaux G. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Blockx A. (3)Ruusuvuori E.1 : 2
    4Kypson P.Herbert P. (5)2 : 0
    5Budkov Kjaer N. (7)Massard L.2 : 0
    6Strombachs R.Passaro F. (4)1 : 2
    7Rottgering M.Kukushkin M.1 : 2
    8Martineau M.Chidekh C.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Fery A.2 : 1
    2Ruusuvuori E.Kypson P.1 : 2
    3Budkov Kjaer N. (7)Passaro F. (4)2 : 0
    4Kukushkin M.Chidekh C.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Kypson P.1 : 2
    2Budkov Kjaer N. (7)Chidekh C.2 : 1

    Final
    1Kypson P.Budkov Kjaer N. (7)