Raphael Collignon vs Jozef Kovalik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Raphael Collignon - Jozef Kovalik
Result
2:0
27/09/2024 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
76%52%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (31/37)63% (17/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (7/12)56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)0% (0/3)
1st Return Points Won
37% (10/27)22% (8/37)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (11/25)42% (5/12)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)0% (0/2)
Max Points In Row
86
Service Points Won
78% (38/49)59% (30/51)
Return Points Won
41% (21/51)22% (11/49)
Total Points Won
59% (59/100)41% (41/100)
Max Games In Row
31
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Raphael Collignon
50.4%
Jozef Kovalik
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 56.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.
  • Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jozef Kovalik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Raphael Collignon - Jozef Kovalik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.11)

    1.87
    (1.65)
    7.2%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Raphael Collignon - Jozef Kovalik?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Kovalik will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Collignon is ranked ATP: 191. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 123.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Kovalik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopp S. (LL)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Rincon D. (Q)Piros Z.0 : 2
    3Collignon R.Elias G. (WC)2 : 0
    4Klizan M. (Q)Kovalik J. (5)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Dalla Valle E. (Q)2 : 0
    6Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Skatov T.2 : 1
    7Roca Batalla O.Faria J.2 : 0
    8Moeller E. (LL)Pellegrino A. (9)2 : 0
    9Galan D. E. (8)Fonio G. (Q)1 : 2
    10Nava E.Gaubas V.2 : 0
    11Arnaboldi F. (Alt)Vale D. (WC)2 : 0
    12Rocha H.Seyboth Wild T. (3)2 : 0
    13Ritschard A. (7)Gea A.2 : 1
    14Novak D. (Q)Pavlovic L. (SE)1 : 2
    15Andreev A. (LL)Tabur C. (Q)1 : 2
    16Barrios Vera T.Altmaier D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Dodig M.Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Collignon R.Kovalik J. (5)2 : 0
    3Tirante T. A. (4)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    4Roca Batalla O. (RET.)Moeller E.0 : 1
    5Fonio G.Nava E.0 : 2
    6Arnaboldi F.Rocha H.1 : 2
    7Ritschard A. (7)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    8Tabur C.Barrios Vera T.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z.Collignon R.0 : 2
    2Tirante T. A. (4)Moeller E.1 : 2
    3Nava E.Rocha H.2 : 0
    4Ritschard A. (7)Barrios Vera T.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Collignon R.Moeller E.2 : 1
    2Nava E.Ritschard A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Collignon R.Ritschard A. (7)1 : 2