Raphael Collignon vs Luciano Darderi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Bastad Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi
Result
1:2
14/07/2025 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals
Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
65%60%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (35/53)67% (37/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (12/28)56% (20/36)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
33% (18/55)34% (18/53)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (16/36)57% (16/28)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)40% (4/10)
Winners
2830
Unforced Errors
2728
Net Points Won
89% (16/18)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
58% (47/81)63% (57/91)
Return Points Won
37% (34/91)42% (34/81)
Total Points Won
47% (81/172)53% (91/172)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)

Chances of winning


Raphael Collignon
36.4%
Luciano Darderi
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 71.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.75)

    1.51
    (1.45)
    5%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Darderi will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 74.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Collignon is ranked ATP: 85. Darderi is ranked ATP: 59.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Darderi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Raphael Collignon
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H.
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Baez S. (4)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Darderi L. (6)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Borges N. (3)
    7TBD #13De Jong J.
    8TBD #15Griekspoor T. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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