Result
1:2
14/07/2025 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (35/53) | 67% (37/55) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 56% (20/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 75% (6/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 34% (18/53) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 40% (4/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 60% (3/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (47/81) | 63% (57/91) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (34/91) | 42% (34/81) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (81/172) | 53% (91/172) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 33% (4/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 58% (14/24) |
Chances of winning
Raphael Collignon
36.4% | Luciano Darderi
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.75) |
|
1.51 ↑
(1.45) |
5%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Darderi will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 74.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Collignon is ranked ATP: 85. Darderi is ranked ATP: 59.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Darderi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Raphael Collignon won against Luciano Darderi?
Raphael Collignon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Raphael Collignon?
Luciano Darderi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
Latest results of Raphael Collignon
Latest results of Luciano Darderi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Baez S. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Monteiro T. (Q) | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ymer E. (WC) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ymer M. (WC) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Misolic F. (Q) | Moller E. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Kopriva V. (8) | Dellien H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Faria J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaston H. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Baez S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ymer E. | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Misolic F. | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kopriva V. (8) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pellegrino A. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Dzumhur D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Baez S. (4) | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Misolic F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Darderi L. (6) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
