Raphael Collignon vs Martin Damm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2026 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
109
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
64%67%
1st serve points won
77% (36/47)71% (40/56)
2nd serve points won
65% (17/26)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)60% (3/5)
1st return points won
29% (16/56)23% (11/47)
2nd return points won
48% (13/27)35% (9/26)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)67% (2/3)
Winners
2634
Unforced errors
1236
Net points won
67% (6/9)65% (17/26)
Service Points Won
73% (53/73)65% (54/83)
Return Points Won
35% (29/83)27% (20/73)
Total Points Won
53% (82/156)47% (74/156)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
83% (10/12)83% (10/12)
Return games won
17% (2/12)17% (2/12)
Total games won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Raphael Collignon
58.9%
Martin Damm
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.
  • Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Damm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Raphael Collignon - Martin Damm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.83)

    2.27
    (1.85)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Raphael Collignon - Martin Damm?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Damm (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 Games - Damm (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Martin Damm will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Martin Damm will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Collignon (votes: 1 - 10%). Damm (votes: 9 - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Collignon is ranked ATP: 69. Damm is ranked ATP: 130.
    • Collignon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Damm is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Raphael Collignon
    Latest results of Martin Damm
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Zahraj P. (Q)2 : 0
    2Bertola R. (Q)Damm M.0 : 2
    3Trotter J. K. (Q)Kolar Z.1 : 2
    4Kotov P. (RET.) (SE)van Assche L. (6)0 : 1
    5Blockx A. (3)Tabur C. (Q)0 : 2
    6Landaluce M.Prihodko O. (SE)2 : 1
    7Added D. (RET.) (Alt)Klein L.0 : 0
    8Engel J.Echargui M. (8)0 : 2
    9Bonzi B. (7)Kukushkin M. (LL)2 : 1
    10Riedi L.Balshaw F. (Q)2 : 1
    11Bouquier A. (WC)Skatov T.2 : 1
    12Kym J.Nardi L. (4)0 : 2
    13Goffin D. (5)Zeppieri G.1 : 2
    14Kouame M. (WC)Squire H. (Q)0 : 2
    15Lajal M. (RET.)Glinka D.0 : 1
    16Chidekh C.Shevchenko A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Damm M.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.van Assche L. (6)1 : 2
    3Tabur C.Landaluce M.2 : 0
    4Klein L.Echargui M. (8)0 : 2
    5Bonzi B. (7)Riedi L.2 : 0
    6Bouquier A.Nardi L. (4)2 : 1
    7Zeppieri G.Squire H.1 : 2
    8Glinka D.Shevchenko A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)van Assche L. (6)2 : 0
    2Tabur C.Echargui M. (8)2 : 1
    3Bonzi B. (7)Bouquier A.2 : 1
    4Squire H.Shevchenko A. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Tabur C.2 : 0
    2Bonzi B. (7)Squire H.2 : 0

    Final
    1Collignon R. (1)Bonzi B. (7)2 : 0