Mattia Bellucci vs Raphael Collignon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
48
1st serve percentage
57%51%
1st serve points won
80% (24/30)79% (22/28)
2nd serve points won
57% (13/23)26% (7/27)
Break Points Saved
6/71/5
1st return points won
21% (6/28)20% (6/30)
2nd return points won
74% (20/27)43% (10/23)
Break Points Converted
4/51/7
Winners
1714
Unforced errors
2429
Net points won
50% (2/4)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
69% (36/52)54% (29/54)
Return Points Won
46% (25/54)31% (16/52)
Total Points Won
58% (61/106)42% (45/106)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Mattia Bellucci
43.6%
Raphael Collignon
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.
  • Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raphael Collignon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raphael Collignon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.61)

    1.67
    (1.44)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2 Games - Collignon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mattia Bellucci will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Collignon (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94. Collignon is ranked ATP: 77.
    • Bellucci has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Collignon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Collignon could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Collignon will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon were as follows:
    28.06.2023 Raphael Collignon - Mattia Bellucci 0:2
    Latest results of Raphael Collignon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2