Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 51% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 80% (24/30) | 79% (22/28) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 26% (7/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/7 | 1/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 20% (6/30) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 74% (20/27) | 43% (10/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/5 | 1/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 56% (5/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (36/52) | 54% (29/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 31% (16/52) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (61/106) | 42% (45/106) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Mattia Bellucci 43.6% | Raphael Collignon 56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raphael Collignon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raphael Collignon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.61) |
|
1.67 ↑ (1.44) |
6.9% (7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +2 Games - Collignon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mattia Bellucci will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Collignon (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94. Collignon is ranked ATP: 77.
- Bellucci has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Collignon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Collignon could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Collignon will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Raphael Collignon?
Mattia Bellucci has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raphael Collignon won against Mattia Bellucci?
Raphael Collignon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon were as follows:
28.06.2023
Raphael Collignon
-
Mattia Bellucci
0:2
Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
Latest results of Raphael Collignon
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | McDonald M. (Alt) | Landaluce M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tseng C. H. | Andrade A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (WC) | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maestrelli F. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (7) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cid Subervi R. (WC) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. | Wong C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Dzumhur D. (3) | |
| 13 | Navone M. (6) | Hardt N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mejia N. (Q) | Mochizuki S. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Goffin D. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Royer V. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andrade A. | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Wong C. | Dzumhur D. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navone M. (6) | Mochizuki S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Royer V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Walton A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Collignon R. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blockx A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. (6) | Royer V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Walton A. (8) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blockx A. | Navone M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bellucci M. | Navone M. (6) | 0 : 2 |