Result
2:1
24/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 11
- Referee: Prskalo Z. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (396/457) | 88% (484/550) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (396/457) | 88% (484/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 61% (46/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/133) | 76% (107/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Demhasaj S. ⚽, Streit N. (A),
- 37', 2 - 0, Demhasaj S. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Schmidt J. ⚽, Ryter Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Streit N. 🟨,
- 65', Streit N. ↓, Carraco D. ↑,
- 65', Ambassa J. 🟨,
- 68', Carraco D. 🟨,
- 72', So S. ↓, Kamberi F. ↑,
- 72', Schmidt J. ↓, De Carvalho F. ↑,
- 81', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 81', Facchinetti M. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
- 81', Demhasaj S. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 83', Ryter Y. ↓, Saliji R. ↑,
- 84', Ambassa J. ↓, Ndema L. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90', Abedini E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Saiz F. ↓, Sidibe I. ↑,
- 90+5', Emini L. ↓, Volkart D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
49.3% | Draw
25.2% | Rapperswil-Jona
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Rapperswil-Jona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.86) |
3.7 ↓
(3.73) |
3.64 ↓
(3.78) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona?
Users Predictions:
Neuchâtel Xamax will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Neuchâtel Xamax will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 5.
- In recent matches, Xamax has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rapperswil is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Xamax could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Xamax: Krasniqi J.
(Knee Injury)
Mulaj L.
(Knee Injury)
Zahaj E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Pousa R.
(Inactive)
Ribeiro A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Xamax: Deme M.
(Inactive)
Demhasaj S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rapperswil: Ndema L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 2.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Rapperswil-Jona has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona were as follows:
26.09.2025
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:3
03.06.2023
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Rapperswil-Jona
3:0
31.05.2023
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:3
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Xamax | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 9 | Wil | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5:26 | -21 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
