Rasmus Gemke vs Koki Watanabe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/11/2025 at 00:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Australian Open - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Rasmus Gemke
35.8%
Koki Watanabe
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rasmus Gemke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rasmus Gemke's form might have worsened.
  • Koki Watanabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koki Watanabe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rasmus Gemke than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rasmus Gemke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koki Watanabe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rasmus Gemke - Koki Watanabe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (1.73)

    1.44
    (2)
    8.7%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gemke is ranked BWF: 30. Watanabe is ranked BWF: 26.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Watanabe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gemke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Rasmus Gemke
    11.11.2025 Alwi Farhan - Rasmus Gemke Canceled
    30.10.2025 Rasmus Gemke - Alex Lanier 1:2
    Latest results of Koki Watanabe
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Christie J.Tanaka Y.0 : 2
    2Aidil S.Ewe E.2 : 0
    3Nishimoto K.George K.2 : 1
    4Gemke R.Watanabe K.2 : 0
    5Lin Chun-YiTeeraratsakul P.2 : 0
    6Mannepalli T.Johannesen M.2 : 1
    7Lee C. H.Srikanth K.1 : 2
    8Ogawa S.Lau E.2 : 1
    9Chi Y. J.Wang T. W.2 : 1
    10Su L. Y.Sen L.0 : 2
    11Shetty A.Sam Y.2 : 0
    12Sheng X.Naraoka K.0 : 2
    13Marcellyno Y. S.Prannoy H. S.1 : 2
    14Chan J. Y.Farhan A. (WO.)
    15Ooi A. J. J.Lim J.2 : 0
    16Tang R.Chou T. Ch.0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Tanaka Y.Aidil S.2 : 0
    2Nishimoto K.Gemke R.0 : 2
    3Lin Chun-YiMannepalli T.2 : 1
    4Srikanth K.Ogawa S.0 : 2
    5Chi Y. J.Sen L.1 : 2
    6Shetty A.Naraoka K.2 : 0
    7Prannoy H. S.Farhan A.0 : 2
    8Ooi A. J. J.Chou T. Ch.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tanaka Y.Gemke R.2 : 0
    2Lin Chun-YiOgawa S.2 : 0
    3Sen L.Shetty A.2 : 0
    4Farhan A.Chou T. Ch.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tanaka Y.Lin Chun-Yi2 : 0
    2Sen L.Chou T. Ch.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tanaka Y.Sen L.0 : 2