Raul Brancaccio vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Milan Challenger Men Raul Brancaccio - Petr Nesterov
Result
1:2
22/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
52%64%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (26/43)59% (35/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (19/40)64% (21/33)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
41% (24/59)40% (17/43)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (12/33)53% (21/40)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
54% (45/83)61% (56/92)
Return Points Won
39% (36/92)46% (38/83)
Total Points Won
46% (81/175)54% (94/175)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Raul Brancaccio
68.8%
Petr Nesterov
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raul Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raul Brancaccio's performance.
  • Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Nesterov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raul Brancaccio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petr Nesterov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Raul Brancaccio - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.47)

    3.01
    (2.43)
    6.6%
    (9.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 355. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 456.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Brancaccio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Brancaccio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brancaccio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Raul Brancaccio
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    19.06.2025 Petr Nesterov - Johan Nikles Nikles J. retired
    18.06.2025 Petr Nesterov - Nick Hardt 2:0
    01.06.2025 Jan Klimas - Petr Nesterov 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2