Elche Ilicitano vs Rayo Vallecano B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Piri ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Castellon S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 2 - 1, Choco ,

Chances of winning


Elche Ilicitano
56.6%
Draw
22.7%
Rayo Vallecano B
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 23.1% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 16% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Rayo Vallecano B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elche Ilicitano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Elche Ilicitano - Rayo Vallecano B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.54)
    4
    (3.97)
    4.46
    (5.35)
    9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ilicitano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rayo Vallecano B has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Ilicitano is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilicitano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche Ilicitano - Rayo Vallecano B were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano B - Elche Ilicitano 0:2
    Latest results of Elche Ilicitano
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano B
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Sebastian Reyes30196546:232363
    2Rayo Majadahonda30179446:232360
    3Getafe B30158751:321953
    4Conquense301312538:271151
    5CD Coria30139842:321048
    6Tenerife B301451151:46547
    7RSD Alcala301281036:37-144
    8Orihuela301110942:37543
    9Ilicitano309111047:47038
    10Las Palmas B301081239:39038
    11CF Intercity309101137:40-337
    12Navalcarnero30991234:39-536
    13Fuenlabrada30891331:37-633
    14Quintanar del Rey30951631:39-832
    15Real Madrid C30871537:44-731
    16Colonia M30861636:54-1830
    17Socuellamos30691528:49-2127
    18Rayo Vallecano B30831927:54-2727

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