Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo).

LaLiga - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.87	1.17
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
5	7
Passes
86% (383/444)	86% (391/454)
Yellow cards
4	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.87	1.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.90	0.48
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked shots
3	7
Shots inside the box
6	9
Shots outside the box
5	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
14	7
Passes
86% (383/444)	86% (391/454)
Long passes
46% (21/46)	57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
72% (74/103)	76% (96/127)
Crosses
0% (0/7)	11% (3/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	0.60
Throw ins
16	18
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
27% (4/15)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
41	38
Clearances
31	17
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.48	1.90
Goals prevented
0.48	-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Carreira S. ⚽, Alvarez H. (A),
44', Alvarez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Zaragoza B. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Gumbau G. 🟨,
58', Sotelo H. 🟨,
59', Martin C. 🟨,
61', Gumbau G. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
61', Pacha ↓, Alemao ↑,
63', Alvarez H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
63', Sotelo H. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
65', Palazon I. 🟨,
65', Aspas I. 🟨,
66', Mingueza O. 🟨,
66', Mendy N. 🟥,
68', Martin C. ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
71', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
71', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
78', de Frutos J. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
79', Palazon I. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Rueda J. ⚽,
83', Starfelt C. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,

Chances of winning

Celta de Vigo
50.7%

Draw
27.8%

Rayo Vallecano
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

31%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo's performance.

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.14)	3.44 ↑ (3.11)	4.42 ↑ (3.63)	4.9% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 24 - 55.8%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 8 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 25.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 41% – 70.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Celta (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Rayo Vallecano (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Celta (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 0.
Celta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Rayo Vallecano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Celta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Celta is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Celta: Beltran F. (Inactive) Jutgla F. (Inactive) Ristic M. (Coach's decision)
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Balliu I. (Muscle Injury) Camello S. (Injury) Ciss P. (International duty) Lopez U. (Injury) Luiz Felipe (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Ratiu A. (Muscle Injury) Valentin O. (Red Card)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Celta won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Rayo Vallecano?

Celta de Vigo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Celta de Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

21.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 1:1

18.05.2025 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 1:2

10.01.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 2:1

31.03.2024 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

11.12.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 0:0

Latest results of Celta de Vigo

12.01.2026 Sevilla - Celta de Vigo 0:1 ✺

03.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Valencia 4:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo 0:0 ✺

17.12.2025 Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo 3:2 ✺

14.12.2025 Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

14.01.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 2:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

06.01.2026 Granada - Rayo Vallecano 1:3 ✺

02.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 1:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Elche - Rayo Vallecano 4:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	28	23	1	4	77:28	49	70
2	Real Madrid	28	21	3	4	60:24	36	66
3	Atl. Madrid	28	17	6	5	47:25	22	57
4	Villarreal	28	17	4	7	51:33	18	55
5	Betis	28	11	11	6	43:35	8	44
6	Celta Vigo	28	10	11	7	38:31	7	41
7	Real Sociedad	28	10	8	10	43:42	1	38
8	Espanyol	28	10	7	11	35:42	-7	37
9	Getafe	28	10	5	13	23:30	-7	35
10	Ath Bilbao	28	10	5	13	30:40	-10	35
11	Osasuna	28	9	7	12	33:35	-2	34
12	Girona	28	8	10	10	31:43	-12	34
13	Rayo Vallecano	28	7	11	10	28:34	-6	32
14	Valencia	28	8	8	12	30:42	-12	32
15	Sevilla	28	8	7	13	37:47	-10	31
16	Mallorca	28	7	7	14	33:45	-12	28
17	Alaves	28	7	7	14	26:38	-12	28
18	Elche	28	5	11	12	36:45	-9	26
19	Levante	28	5	8	15	30:46	-16	23
20	Oviedo	28	4	9	15	18:44	-26	21

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2