Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 5
- Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bangladesh | Begin |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Maldives | ICE Xtra, Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
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86% (460/532) | 80% (297/372) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.18 | 1.61 |
Total shots |
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15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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24 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 8 |
Passes |
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86% (460/532) | 80% (297/372) |
Long passes |
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53% (33/62) | 40% (24/60) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (139/182) | 67% (69/103) |
Crosses |
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7% (2/30) | 11% (2/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.39 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 10 |
Tackles |
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45% (5/11) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
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36 | 34 |
Clearances |
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22 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.61 | 1.18 |
Goals prevented |
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0.61 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Palazon I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Alvarez H. (A),
- 55', Rueda J. 🟨,
- 60', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
- 60', Alvarez H. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
- 60', Pacha ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
- 60', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, de Frutos J. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
- 68', Palazon I. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
- 71', Sotelo H. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
- 79', Ristic M. ↓, Starfelt C. ↑,
- 79', Zaragoza B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
- 90+1', de Frutos J. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
- 90+1', Diaz P. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rayo Vallecano 46.3% | Draw 28% | Celta de Vigo 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano's performance.Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↓ (2.45) |
3.43 ↑ (3.28) |
3.7 ↑ (2.96) |
3.7% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Celta will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 48.2% – 82.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Celta has had a series of home games.
- Rayo Vallecano might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe
(Muscle Injury)
Mumin A.
(Knee Injury)
Nteka R.
(Contusion)
- There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J.
(Coach's decision)
Cervi F.
(Coach's decision)
- There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mendy N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Perez F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Celta: Alonso M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Celta de Vigo?
Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Rayo Vallecano?
Celta de Vigo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo were as follows:
18.05.2025
Celta de Vigo
-
Rayo Vallecano
1:2
10.01.2025
Rayo Vallecano
-
Celta de Vigo
2:1
31.03.2024
Celta de Vigo
-
Rayo Vallecano
0:0
11.12.2023
Rayo Vallecano
-
Celta de Vigo
0:0
11.03.2023
Celta de Vigo
-
Rayo Vallecano
3:0
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Latest results of Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Real Madrid | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Barcelona | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 13 |
3 | Villarreal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 10 |
4 | Espanyol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
5 | Elche | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Betis | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Ath Bilbao | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
8 | Getafe | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Sevilla | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Alaves | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Valencia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Atl. Madrid | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
17 | R. Oviedo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
18 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 2 |
19 | Mallorca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
20 | Girona | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:15 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2