Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo).

LaLiga - Round 37
Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, SuperSport OTT 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 3
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 3
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN LaLiga 3, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 13
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.23	1.03
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
24	7
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
9	2
Passes
86% (416/482)	80% (231/290)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.42	1.44
Total shots
24	7
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
13	1
Shots inside the Box
16	3
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
35	7
Accurate through passes
3	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
17	10
Passes
86% (416/482)	80% (231/290)
Long passes
37% (14/38)	39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
72% (88/122)	65% (45/69)
Crosses
54% (7/13)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	0.70
Throw-ins
25	23
Fouls
10	17
Tackles
60% (12/20)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
58	27
Clearances
15	17
Interceptions
0	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
1.44	1.42
Goals prevented
-0.56	0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Alonso M. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Palazon I. ⚽, Pacha (A),
32', Alonso M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽, Lejeune F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Valentin O. 🟨,
60', Valentin O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
60', Embarba A. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
61', Pacha ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
68', Lago Y. 🟨,
68', Lejeune F. 🟨,
69', Lopez F. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
69', Lopez U. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
79', Ristic M. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
79', Swedberg W. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
84', Alonso M. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
84', Duran P. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
88', de Frutos J. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
90+4', Ciss P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Celta de Vigo
50.6%

Draw
26.7%

Rayo Vallecano
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

24%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	3.59 ↓ (3.94)	4.24 ↑ (4.18)	4.2% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 51.5% – 86.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Celta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Celta is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Celta: El Abdellaoui J. (International duty) Jailson (Knee Injury) Starfelt C. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Injury) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Celta won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Rayo Vallecano?

Celta de Vigo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Celta de Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

10.01.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 2:1

31.03.2024 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

11.12.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 0:0

11.03.2023 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 3:0

10.11.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 0:0

Latest results of Celta de Vigo

13.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Celta de Vigo - Sevilla 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 3:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Barcelona - Celta de Vigo 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

15.05.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Betis 2:2 ✺

09.05.2025 Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 1:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	6:1	5	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	6:3	3	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	8:1	7	7
4	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	7:3	4	7
5	Espanyol	3	2	1	0	5:3	2	7
6	Getafe	3	2	0	1	4:4	0	6
7	Elche	3	1	2	0	4:2	2	5
8	Betis	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Valencia	3	1	1	1	4:2	2	4
10	Rayo Vallecano	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4
11	Alaves	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3
13	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	1:2	-1	3
14	Celta Vigo	4	0	3	1	3:5	-2	3
15	R. Oviedo	3	1	0	2	1:5	-4	3
16	Real Sociedad	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2
17	Atl. Madrid	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2
18	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	2:6	-4	1
19	Levante	3	0	0	3	3:7	-4	0
20	Girona	3	0	0	3	1:10	-9	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2